Quantitative Analysis Of The Driving Factors Of Tourism In Xinjiang

Along with rapid development of tourism, the research of the driving force of the regional tourism become more and more important .The urgent request is to learn about the factors which impel the regional tourism development,and what are the main factors ? what is the relationship between the tourism income and these factors ?And how are the factors organized ?The driving factors vary as the different types of tourism regions,and even the same types of different regions ,its driving factors importance vary.Based on the border provinces of Xinjiang Tourism impetus to the development of system elements, We did a pilot study of the driving factors systems of tourism development.Study the impetus to the development of tourism with qualitative and quantitative analysis,and find out the bottleneck of the development of Xinjiang tourism, predict which investments are more important in the future development of tourism in Xinjiang.This paper is divided into five sections for analysis and research :Part I, introduction. The text analyzed the background, significance , purposes, studies methods of the research.Part II, the establishment of the Xinjiang Tourism dynamic factors system, this is on the basis of the reference of previous research and Xinjiang physical indicators system.PartⅢ, choose the quantitative method, In contrast to the major comprehensive evaluation of the scope of application and its advantages and disadvantages,we use the factor analysis as a major evaluation method.Part IV, the Xinjiang Tourism motivation factor quantitative analysis, First use of factor analysis quantitative analysis Xinjiang tourism development momentum factor. This is a major step in the use of a few factors said to a group of linear variable observation, followed by the use of these factors as independent variables for regression analysis, study the relations between these driving factors and tourism income.Finally give the comprehensive tourism development cluster.Part V, the solutions to enhance tourism development in Xinjiang. According to the previous analysis to provided a scientific basis for the government making related policies.The Conclusion:(1) Through carries on the quantification analysis to the 15 states of Xinjiang of tourism development driving factors,obtains its driving factors are: social economy, facility, talented person condition; tourism resources; port, trade open condition.(2) Moreover through the regression analysis obtains the international tourism income has the most remarkable relevance to the factors of social economy, facility, talented person condition .But the domestic tourism income has remarkable relevance with the four kinds of factors of social economy,facility, talented person condition and tourism resources; port, trade condition.(3) Clustering situation reflects the development of Xinjiang's tourism is mainly in accordance with the socio-economic, human resources, tourism resources, location. the comprehensive situation gather for five types, clustering is more in line with the development of tourism in Xinjiang actual situation.(4) The tourism resources and traffic condition affect the tourism development of Xinjiang ,but the socio-economic, personnel and other factors played a greater role.To sum up ,the main feature of this paper is the quantitative analysis of the driving factors of the the regional tourism.the meanings of all the quantities are well investigated and sufficient examples are explored to support the model calculation.we believe this paper is a remarkable progess in study of the driving force of the regional tourism .