Analysis On The Factors Of Agricultural Trade Structure Of China

With the development of economic globalization and regional integration, the economic relationship including agricultural products trade(APT) among countries or areas is becoming increasely closer. The change of the world market greatly affects the development of agricultural industry and products trade of every country. Great variations have taken place in the position, function, situation of Chinese agricultural trade.The products range and categories involved in the international trade are defined according to The Demonstration Of China's Agricultural Products Trade(Yifu Zhao ,Zhihong Tian,2005).All of agricultural products are sorted into 19 kinds under the same criterion. In this way, the procedure of time series analysis are resolved.This paper firstly analyze the characteristics of the international agricultural products trade(APT) ,and then aims to research the general regularity of Chinese APT's structural changing and the feature of China's trade flow .On this base , principally analyzing factors of affecting China's agricultural products export in order to learn about the international experience and make it clear of the vantages of China's agricultural products trade.The study on the international agricultural products trade pattern is carried out according to the integral and categories respectively. Time series analysis as a main method applied to the analysis of China's trade.Secondly, exploring and verifying the features of China's APT structure is an important part in this paper. Therefore, the constant market-share model(CMS) is applied to analyze the influence upon China's APT structure arosed by agricultural products competitiveness, imported quantity of other countries and so on. On this base, the degree of the mainly factors affected China's APT structure is further discussed.Thirdly, Combined with theory the reason why China's APT structure changed is particularly explained. This part of analysis emphasize particularly on the cause of the change.At last, the ways on selective basis are analysed and put forward to improve China's APT structure.