Application On The Sensitivity Analysis Of Feasibility Study Of Commercial Residential

Real estate is a kind of leading infrastructure industry, is the base and carrier of the whole economical action with its high susceptibility and advanced, which plays a promoting role in the national economy, However along with the house price unceasing rise, the country regulates and controls the macroeconomic enhancement to the real estate, the real estate market has been influenced more and more by the national policy, in the property development process risk further increases, it appears extremely essential to the project economic evaluation and the uncertainty analysis. Through applying sensitivity analysis it can find the various factors affecting the economic evaluation target in order to providers the help for the developers to make out the protective measure.By reading a lot of related literature at home and abroad, from the relevant research results on the basis of the theory of the real estate economics, from the characteristics of analyzing real estate projects, the dissertation Clarifies the commodity residential project with the characteristics of uncertainty; Through applying the sensitive analytic method in the commodity housing project feasibility study, has discussed and studied various factors comprehensively regarding the project economical indicator influence, expounded the basic parameters in commercial residential which effect the economical evaluation, with the price forecasting model and linear programming, clarifying the function of the factors in the role of cash flow; Finally it unifies the probability statistics to respectively the uncertainty factors in the certain change scope, determining the sensitive factor affecting project economical indicator, seeks the method to circumvent the political risk to provide the effective certain rationale for the developer.