Study On Economic Forest Products Demand Forecast Factors And Methods Adaptability

As the sustainable development of Forestry Industry and the carrying out of classification management,Cash Tree takes more and more part in Forest area in China.Economic Forest Products are highly supplied and demanded in the market,and while developing,more problems come out.Our study on Economic Forest Products is not mature,and a series of problems are calling for solutions. So,how to hold the market of Cash Trees Products and forecasting the future development become hot points for most researchers.The article starts from forecast.On the basis of knowing clearly about related theories of forecast, it will also introduce the development of forecast at home and abroad.Integrating the specialties of Economic Forest Products,common principle of demand forecast and the theory of forecast,to analyze the main work,Demands Forecasting System on Economic Forest Products is designed and developed out under basic C/S model by using C# and SQL Server.This paper expounds the process of studying demand factors on Economic Forest Products by this system,taking five kinds of fruit as examples.And further applying this system,combining the theory of forecast,various forecast models are set up.From forecast data preparation,forecasting error,fitting degree of forecasting curve,forecast data integrity and other different points of view, how the forecasting methods are adapted during the demand forecasting is analyzed and some suggestions are given out when combining with facts.