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Assessment For The Loss Of Income Of Fishermen Caused By Storm Surge Disaster

Posted on:2010-08-31Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:L J RenFull Text:PDF
GTID:2189360275985978Subject:Labor economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Crossing the marine line by Tropical cyclones, extratropical cyclones, storms at sea, such as squall, causing sudden strong winds and atmospheric pressure and leading to the phenomenon of Local sea surface oscillation or any unusual increase (lower)in non-cyclical, Process of these is called storm surge. Storm surge, astronomical tides and near-shore coastal ocean waves caused by combination of rose water lead to disasters. This is commonly known as storm surge disaster. According to currently available information on storm surge disaster, storm surge disaster happen almost every year.Looking at study to storm surge disaster in the domestic and foreign scholars, Mostly focused on the perspective from the natural sciences to study the concept, characteristics, causes, prediction, risk assessment, preventive measures and so on. So the study of storm surges on the natural characteristics is relatively sophisticated. The results of research In the natural sciences should be used into the reality of economic life, in order to set up a comprehensive assessment system for the loss of income of fishermen caused by storm surge disaster. Storm surge disaster is the most often and the most direct influencing factor to the income of fishermen. Storm surge disaster affected the income of fishermen. Currently there is no perfect assessment mechanism for the loss of the income of fishermen caused by storm surges. Setting up an effective assessment system for the loss of the income of fishermen caused by storm surges, can benefit to help compensating for the loss of the income of fishermen and providing a basis prevention system for disaster for the future. In this paper, generally use the theories and methods of mathematical statistics, disasters, economics, labor economics, related study and so on. Based on the natural sciences and management science research, organizing the collecting of relevant information, theoretically analyses the impact for the loss of the income of fishermen caused by storm surge disaster and explore the inner contact between storm surge disaster and the extent for the loss of the income of fishermen.In this paper, first of all, have a brief summary of storm surge disaster, including the concept and classification on storm surges and the formation dissemination , development stage of storm surges. Next introduce the impact of storm surge disaster and a number of Ways of storm surge prediction and forecasting . In the paper introduced some of current assessment theories of the loss of income and methods of assessment models. Based on these valuable theories and methods, set up a assessment system for storm surge disaster. Storm surges disasters have caused great harm on the national economy, especially for fishermen. Most of the income of fishermen in our country comes from fishery production, the main income coming from marine fishing and marine farming. Storm surge disasters are the greatest threats to the coastal fishermen's livelihood and survival. Setting up a set of effective assessment system for the income of fishermen, and facilitatly and efficiently assessing the loss of income of fishermen caused by storm surge disaster are good at post-disaster reconstruction and compensation to fishermen.Loss of income of the fishermen caused by Storm surge disasters include the loss of income of seawater aquaculture, Loss of fishing income, potential loss of income, and loss of earnings for the closure of recreational fishermen fishing. In accordance with the assessment relevant theories and methods, Assess the losses of the income of fishermen caused by storm surge disaster. In accordance with the result, Set up a BP artificial neural network model and test the model. The results indicate the results of the assessment in line with the actual, the results of the assessment has a certain value.Finally, introduce a number of reduction measures to storm surge disaster on the income of fishermen, Improve storm surge forecasting and warning systems so that they would be able to avoid disaster, Adjust the structure of the income of fishermen in order to reduce the storm surge disaster on the income of fishermen, and Establish aChinese fishing insurance mechanism to protect the income of fishermen.
Keywords/Search Tags:Storm surge, Income of fishermen, The loss assessment
PDF Full Text Request
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