| Human activities are mainly executed in some specific scope and region,and influence on which human beings exert environment represents regional traits.In allusion to the regional trait,the human introduce concept of sustainable development in regional development between 80's and 90's at the end of 20th century.Former studies about regional sustainable development stated that the primary framework of regional sustainable development strategic decision includes development base, sustainable development orientation,development strategy and planning.Thereinto, sustainable development orientation is an important hinge,which connects development base,strategy decision and subsequent programming.In other words,if sustainable development orientation is inexact,and concept of sustainable development embodies inaccurately,the ultimate strategic decision is unauthentic. However,the actual studies about regional sustainable development strategy stay on ordinary theoretical research.These researches neglect scientific methods to regional development orientation.Consequently,this paper,which focuses on methods to regional sustainable development orientation,bears considerably academic value and practical significance.Based on environmental science,mathematics,systematic science,environmental management and other knowledge,this paper adopts methods,such as datum collection,theoretical analysis,mathematical statistics,model construction and case study,to analyze the feasibility of SWOT analysis applied in regional sustainable development orientation,and construct relative methodological framework.Finally, methodological framework is applied in sustainable development orientation in Luoyuan Bay's Case.The article provides research achievements as follow:(1) Analyze actual methods and application,comprehend basic theories and process,and understand traits and application scope of SWOT analysis.Probe into concept of regional sustainable development and strategy decision,summarize process and traits of SWOT analysis,and analyze the feasibility of SWOT analysis applied in regional sustainable development orientation.This paper could reach a conclusion that SWOT analysis,as a method or tool to make decisions,could be efficiently adopted in regional sustainable development orientation research,and provide theoretical support to ultimate strategy decision,by means of its specific traits, analysis process and ability of drawing conclusion.(2)According to feasible analysis,the article combines worldwide research achievement,chooses a method combining AHP and SWOT,and adopts DELPHI method,mathematical statistics,induction and summarization,system analysis in order to establish methodological framework of SWOT analysis applied in regional sustainable development orientation.The primary framework of this methodology includes:first of all,identify and analyze factors,exerting influence on sustainable development,including strength(S),weakness(W),opportunity(O) and threat(T). Secondly,this paper makes cross-analysis,quantitative and qualitative analysis (AHP-SWOT),construct strategic quadrangle,and obtain strategy analysis and elementary conclusion.At last,the conclusion on regional sustainable development orientation could be reached.(3)By applying the methodological framework to Luoyuan Bay's case study,this paper could draw the conclusion of regional sustainable development orientation. Quantitative results of AHP-SWOT analysis method indicate:among factors exerting influence on regional sustainable development in Luoyuan Bay,the ordering of influence extent is weaknesses＞threats＞strengths＞opportunities.That is to say,the region possesses some strength,but weaknesses are much obvious.The development strategy of this region should be inclined to conservative and defensive strategy. Based on this conclusion,concerning advices from expert and public,employing analogical analysis with West Sea Areas of Xiamen,this paper reaches ultimate conclusion of regional sustainable development orientation in Luoyuan Bay:Luoyuan Bay Region should be established as an important port and port-neighboring industry base,which serves economical districts in the west Taiwan Strait and the capital city of Fujian Province. |
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