Research On Fluctuation And Regulation Policy Of Pork Price In China

Pork industry plays an extremely important position in the people's livelihood. In recent years, pork price has been fluctuated remarkably and frequently, excessive price fluctuation is not only harmful to healthy development of the pork industry, but also to people's consumption. Agricultural production subjects often lack effectively and timely market information in the market environment of inequality, only undertake market risk of passive pork price fluctuations. Government administration has to response passively, they also lack scientific and effective measures, can not grasp the inherent laws of pork fluctuations, regulation policys are often ineffectively. So, study the law of pork price fluctuations and government price control policies can make us more in-depth understanding the pork market, and then we can take effectively measures to decrease price fluctuations in the pork market.This paper study factors of pork price fluctuation with the basic economic theories such as cobweb theory, supply and demand balance theory through the pork price formation mechanism and the mechanism of price volatility. We analyze the basic conditions of China's pork price fluctuations, according to the 118 months of pork price data from January 2000 to October 2009 of Beijing, we use X12 seasonal adjustment methods and the HP filter method for wave analysis. On this basis, we use the stable pricing policy, distribution policy and so on to analysis and evaluate the basic pork price regulation theories in the past years of China,and then propose the final targeted policy recommendations. Finally, the paper analyzes the experience and revelation of pork price stability and development of pork industry about three countries.The results show that: (1)China's main impact on pork price fluctuations comes from the production processes, the weak information transmission and unreasonable market interest coupling mechanism has also led to fluctuations in the price of pork; (2)Since the reform pork price, China has five cycles of pork price fluctuation, China's pork price fluctuated frequently,supply and demand changes radical in the new stage; (3) Pork price cycle of Beijing is consistent with the country, pork price cycle generally a period of three years, price fluctuation cycle is consistent with the production, the price of pork in Beijing is less than the whole country, the main reason may be that Beijing has a relatively complete market system of pork; (4) The regulation of price fluctuations should focus on the short, medium and long-term policy, short tp stabilizing production, medium to improve the pork market system, in the long run to promote the pork industry's overall development;(5)Through analysis the pork price policy regulation of China, we find that: the current policy of purchasing and storage of pork prices affect market confidence more than market itself, the price control nodes and objects are unreasonablel, insufficient support to small producers reduce the effectiveness of policies;(6)The measures proposed include: First, regulation of production stability, such as:judging the annual total demand ahead of time, encouraging the development of standardized scale feeding, raising the level of insurance benefits and insurance diversity,strengthening efforts to promote pig breeding and other means; Second, improve the market system and market regulation measures, such as:the establishment of sound market information dissemination mechanism, vaccine development,promoting research integration and linkage mechanism for the flow of sales, setting price regulation fund measures; Third, control policies should focus more on the initiative, foresight and long-term stability, from passive to active regulation.