Cbd Project Investment Decision-making Risk Identification And Evaluation Of Research

CBD is inevitable product in the process of city development. With the development of urban modernization, the CBD project is under construction in more and more countries and regions. In recent years, the construction of CBD in our country is on a roll. But not all the construction of CBD has brought economic and social benefits. Even some of the construction of CBD development has brought heavy losses for the city , not only did not bring benefits but also brought a lot of social problems such as traffic congestion around the CBD,the city played down the function of CBD and other issues, owing to the blindness of project decisions. How to avoid these problems of the city CBD building today? Decisions must be based on the project to make a full argument, which focused on project decision-making based on risk, so it is necessary to study the CBD risk of investment decision.The paper has found that more focused perspective in urban planning research, but risk of CBD involves less investment decision, from the CBD-related articles on domestic and international research literature reviewed. Paper first introduces the concept of CBD and the related theory of CBD projects decision-making risk ,discusses the issues of CBD construction and the necessary of research risk; and then discusses in detail the investment decision CBD risk identification and evaluation, in accordance with the risk and the outside world between the risk factors into the system of external risk, internal risk systems and system staggered three types of risk, and identified the CBD project decision-making risks by use of the method of work - risk decomposition, establish a CBD project risk database, and gives the CBD project risk factors method for determining the index weight; next is the system taking into account the comprehensive risk control risk and may not be a synthesis of control risk, the relative risk scale than coefficient of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, the original model was modified to avoid the traditional fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to determine the absolute maximum degree of a lack of scientific evaluation defect; Finally, Changsha Economic and Technological Development Zone CBD project as the research object, studies its investment decision risk,gives its corresponding risk control countermeasures based on the analysis results .The research of above not only enriches the research of project risk management theory and methods on a certain degree, but also provides the practical significance for improving the city CBD scientific investment decision...