Hunan Agricultural Fair Demand Forecast

The Hunan agriculture exposition is a broad platform of demonstrating Hunan agriculture, its fast development sped up our provincial agriculture industry advancement, promoting our provincial agricultural efficiency, increasing farmer's receives, advancing our provincial new countryside reconstruction step; Its achievement will show that it is gradually becoming my provincial the Meets and Display industry's main item enterprise, it's fast development will leading my provincial the Meets and Display industry fast rising; However, the Hunan agriculture exposition obtains a bigger success, but also has many problems, most main is blindly holds the Conference and Display and the phenomenon is very serious, in other words, the sponsor side and the undertaking side have not been able to clearly distinguish the present situation and the question, they can not clearly understanding the possible prospects for development and the development tendency; The related fundamental research is quite deficient, specially, the research of the specifically Meeting and Display still is in a blank condition。Because the series of reasons, the present research is necessary. Correctly analyzes the development present situation of the Hunan agriculture meets and display, the existence question, understood own superior inferiority and the external environment opportunity and the challenge, the science forecast its prospects development and the development tendency, proposed solves the question countermeasure and the development pattern and so on is the present paper research goal.The present paper take the Meeting and Display's theory and forecast theory and Related discipline theory as the theory foundation, Through the research of the motive and the influence motive factor of the Hunan agriculture exposition's Participation display enterprise and audience, obtain the reason of participate and the method of attracting them to participate Attracts. Taking these as the foundation and according to the Hunan agriculture exposition's actual situation, the author has analyzed the result of Participation enterprise and audience, the type of participation product and it's development change tendency; has analyzed the scale and area of participation business; According to the analysis of participation business's continuously participates situation and the display area change situation, the author has analyzed the meeting's change tendency and audience's liking; And through the analysis of the Hunan Agriculture Exposition's basic situation, the author has Already discovered the Hunan agriculture exposition's an important question which exists in the present stage that is Internationalization degree too low and localization degree too high; Through the analysis of it's environment, the authorhas Obtained that The Hunan Agriculture Exposition's developing environment is good, but competes intensely, so the Hunan Agriculture Exposition has opportunity also has challenges. After the analyzing of present situation, according to the mentality from macroscopic to microscopic, the author has Comprehensively analyzed the question which it exists at present.The author has discussed seven factor of affecting Hunan Agriculture Exposition, and they are industry market soft and hardware enviroment mechenism and science technolongy .According to this ,construct seven index for forecasting quantity of bargaining and audience of Hunan Agriculture Exposition. The most method of forecasting is judgement analyzing and investigating and combination model and regression.