Since the reform and open policy, the development of Hunan Province's economic and society has obtained great achievement. The average per person GDP increased from 284 to 11183 Yuan between 1978 and 2006,created a miracle that the annual growth nearly 14%.In 2007,Changsha,Zhuzhou and Xiangtan has attained the approval of national two types of society coordinate and reform area. It bings new power to the economic growth of Hunan Province. The developing Hunan must solve two problems: 1,What is the economic development of various cities of Hunan? 2,How to construct the cities cluster? This article attempts from the relationship of total factor productivity and the economic development of various cities of Hunan to use demonstration analysis to compare the total factor productivity of various cities in area development. It will provide a demonstration analysis support for the construction of our province's urban cluster.The main content of the thesis are as follows:The first chapter is mainly introduces the research background, reviewing and appraising domestic and foreign relevant study results.The second chapter is the theory and research of total factor productivity. Apply the econometrics retrogressive method to analyze the cause of total factor productivity, and estimate out every changing factor.The third chapter is the demonstration analysis part. Using the data from the Hunan almanac, put the GDP as output and the fixed capital storage and worker as input. Using the Cobb-Douglas production function and the non-parameter Malmquist law separately to obtain the total factor productivity and decompose the total factor productivity, simultaneously, measuring the impact relation between the fluctuation of GDP and TFP. Base on the result of demonstration analysis, we carry on careful analysis as urban cluster divison.The fourth chapter is put forward the policy proposal that base on the result of above analysis.This article gets the following conclusion through the demonstration analysis: 1. In long time, the GDP fluctuation is the TFP fluctuation's Granger reason. The meaning is that the expansion of output promotes the TFP in long time.2. The gap of TFP is not only expanding between the urban cluster, but also expanding in the urban cluster.3. Technology progress is the main reason cause the TFP increasing. Scale efficiency affects the TFP in a certain extent.4. The change of economic structure is an important reason enhances the TFP. |