China's Industrial Structure Input-output Correlation Analysis

China is in the key phase of the third industrial structure adjustment at present. This paper analyzes the intersectoral linkages, the characteristics of different industries, the impact on economic growth and the relation between the industry and final demands by the input-output method. This has important significance of accelerating of our country industrial structure strategic transitions and ensuring economic growth.Based on the input-output theory, this paper has finished the following work:(1) There has been a recent resurgence of interest in RAS technique for updating and interpreting change in matrix representations of regional structures, most commonly input-output accounts. Although this technique has been shown to have a number of theoretically appealing properties, various alternatives do exist. In this paper, I make substitutions in the final demand vector and the value-added vector, and improve the validity of RAS technique.(2)I measure the intersectoral linkages of 17 sectors, including direct linkages and indirect linkages. Thereinto, the measure of forward linkages are base on the output matrix (B). During the course of economic growth, the sectors having higher forward linkages have received the demand pressure foremost, but the sectors having lower forward linkages have strong motive force to the economic growth.(3)The different intersectoral linkages induce the difference of production structure and the consumption structure. This indicates that we must consider the diversity caused by final demands while we research the intersectoral linkages. Final demands are formed four parts with the consumption of resident, government consumption, fixed capital and the net export. Among them, fixed capital has the biggest production induction coefficient.During the macro-economic control, we should consider above-mentioned factors synthetically, and take different economic means to the characteristic of different industries...