Analysis And Thinking Of Sex Ratio At Birth In China

Since 1980s, Gender Ratio of New-born Population in our country has been continuously increasing to a certain degree, which is even higher than the international accepted maximum of 107. This social difficulty, after population explosion and silver hair tide, will inevitably result in serious social problems if it is not appropriately handled, and arouse all attentions from scholars and department of government. There have been profound social and economic reasons and cultural background from which such phenomena as high Gender Ratio of New-born Population derive. Such phenomenon is also a kind of negative effect with the population growing under the situation of the remarkable achievement by the basic national policy of Family Planning, and it is confined to traditional birth concept, and closely related to social development and science advancing. As a result, such preference to gender does exist among the married couples. Therefore, it is one of the issues of times that more researches needed to be done.Under such circumstances, this paper attempts to analyze all the possible factors which will increase Gender Ratio of New-born Population in our country by the methods of Contingency Table and Correlation Analysis with the data from population census and population sample survey. In addition, this paper also attempts to make a dynamic prediction of China's sex structure of population in the next 50 years by age shift calculating approach. It is estimated that male population with the age from 15 to 49 will be 37 million more than female population by the year of 2050, which represents a disastrous situation. Therefore, solutions to the issue of high Gender Ratio of New-bom Population must be worked out immediately and this paper attempts to propose several suggestions to such issues as unbalanced gender ratio at birth in China, which helps to effectively reduce the social risk and contributes to consolidation of achievements by Family Planning and creation of harmonious environment for the development of population, economy and society.