Research, Based On The Migration Behavior Of Rural Residents And The Willingness Of The City Roads

Urbanization is not only the main outlet of reducing the income gap between urban and rural of China and expanding effective demands, but also is an important way of optimizing industry structure and getting sustainable utilization of resource. Only speeds up urbanization can promote stably and sustainable grow of China's macroscopic economy and harmony development of the entire society of China. Since the initiation of economic reforms, urbanization is positively understood and improved, but the whole development speed is slow. How to speed up urbanization and where is the best place to migrate for the rural labor has become an important problem that is worth researched.This thesis takes Changjiang delta region as research area and takes the migratory farmers as research objects, constructs the farmers' migration decision model of Changjiang delta region base on model hypothesis and questionnaire survey which including whether migrate or not and where to migrate. Then general analyses the factors which including individual, family, society environment and system that influence the choice of the urbanization mode of the migrants. At last, search for the urbanization mode in Changjiang delta region and bring forward corresponding suggestions. The research includes following contents.First, summarize some theories about population migration and urbanization (Chapter Two). Summarize the theories about population migration, urbanization and the choice of urbanization mode in China which provides theory reference.Second, the development of world urbanization and its apocalypse (Chapter Three). From the study of the development ways of world urbanization and research of urbanization modes of the world, we get the following apocalyposes. Firstly, urbanization should develop harmonious with agriculture. Secondly, urbanization should develop harmonious with industrialization. Thirdly, we should choose the urbanization mode according to the local conditions. Fourthly, the push of urbanization should base on the government control combine with market mechanism.Third, analyze urbanization history and status quo in China and Changjiang delta region (Chapter Four). Discuss the macroscopical background of the urbanization development of the whole Changjiang delta region by the study on the urbanization status quo and history in China and Changjiang delta region and the history and status quo of population migration in Changjiang delta region.Fourth, empirical analyze about the farmer' migration behavior in Changjaing delta region during urbanization process (Chapter Five). Discuss the factors that influence the farmers' migration behaviors by the use of Logistic model which based on questionnaire survey, such as individual character, family character, society environment and system factors.Fifth, empirical analyze about the farmers' choice of urbanization mode in Changjiang delta region (Chapter Six). By analyzing of the farmers who have migrated and who haven't migrated, we can know the urbanization mode that the farmers choose which based on the questionnaire survey and discuss the factors that influence the farmers' choice of city which they decide to migrate by the use of Multinomial Logistic model. At last, discuss the trend of urbanization in Changjiang delta region by comparing and analyzing the farmers who have migrated with those who haven't migrated.Sixth, conclusions and suggestions(Chapter Seven). Through the empirical analysis,we get four conclusions. Firstly, the farmers' age, occupation type and the experiences of outside work have very prominent influence on the decision of migration. The farmers who are younger and work in nonagricultural industry and who have more experiences of outside work are more likely to migrate. Secondly, the social network connection in cities and the major jobs of family have prominent influence on the decision of migration. Families which take the nonagricultural work as their major jobs and which have more consanguineous network connection in cities are more likely to migrate. Thirdly, the major cities the farmers choose to migrate are the medium-sized cities, such as county and prefecture-level city. Fourthly, farmers will choose to migrate to metropolitan areas in the future.On the basis of the empirical conclusions and use for reference of experiences and enlightenment of foreign countries, the thesis bring forward eight advices. Firstly, we should develop modernized agriculture which establish the foundation for the migration of urban people and the promotion of urbanization. Secondly, strengthen the management of population flows and channel off population migration rationally. Thirdly, strengthen the whole city programming of Changjiang delta region and promote the development of the integration of urban and rural areas. Fourthly, improve the infrastructure construction in small and medium-sized cities and small town. Fifthly, further speed up the urbanization process and improve the quality of urbanization constantly. Sixthly, take the appropriate centralized urbanization mode. Seventhly, improve the economic power and social development capability. Eighthly, give full play to the role of government, combine the government promotion with market mechanism to promote urbanization.