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Game Model Of Cause Root In University Mass Events And Information Diffusing Mechanism

Posted on:2012-09-14Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y P WeiFull Text:PDF
GTID:2217330371952826Subject:Quantitative Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
In recent years, the colony accidents frequently been made public, has become an unavoidable in society. The university is an important part of the social system, and it is the social train and bring up senior specialized talents, promote science and research progress and promote social and cultural development of the base. For the colony accidents disposal is justified or not, not only relates the normal teaching management order, the more affected our country economic order in the long run. The nature of the unique in colleges and universities, task and face special group, the group is decided in emergencies has some unique personality.Under the background of information, information and changing gradually into the campus of study, life style, which promoted the development of the university campus, also make the school in the economic, political, cultural, safety and many other fields faces many risk, be on the university campus colony accidents is one of the important factors. Research information background information risk and university colony accidents of the inner relationship between, and has important theoretical and practical significance.Based on the existing literature on the colony accidents on the basis of, evolutionary game theory established by the colony accidents causes evolutionary game of the dynamic equation, and then established the university information transmission model of information communication in the university colony accidents the role of theoretical analysis, and finally the numerical analysis and case analysis. The research work are as followsFirst, through the conducted in a university wider range of questionnaire, understand the emergency types, characteristics and management department emergency management, and other basic condition. The specific work include the design of the questionnaire, statistics, and the analysis of the questionnaire investigation.Second, using evolutionary game theory replicated dynamic model, and the model of the equilibrium analysis, finally the paper model analysis the colony accidents the producing mechanism. Third, establish the colony accidents of information transmission model. Puts forward that the university emergency of SIR information transmission, this paper analyzes the information transmission model on the effectiveness of the control, thus for university management department in the treatment of the colony accidents provide reference, also can give supervision department, the release of college information monitoring is timely and effective for reference.Fourth, the numerical analysis and case analysis. In college colony accidents of the generating mechanism of copy of theoretical analysis of the dynamic model results, through numerical analysis of MATLAB; According to the emergency information transmission model and combining with "jiujiang university event" case analysis. The above analysis primarily validated the theoretical analysis conclusion.Finally, according to the group of emergency management present situation, proposed the constructing group of emergency management information communication mechanism suggestion, the university should solve the problems facing related to provide some methods and ideas. Discussed the incident from university college students into a rational judgment of passive managers individual, the construction of information communication mechanism is the top priority, and an effective of university of information communication mechanism to objective conditions. The construction of college information communication mechanism not only has the obvious theoretical significance and is more effective and practical significance. Therefore, should be in the information access, organization and management, interests and needs time grasp and so on various constructing a different angles of information communication mechanism, so as to improve the processing the colony accidents methods and ideas.
Keywords/Search Tags:college of mass emergencies, evolutionary game, informational spread, MATLAB simulation, information communication mechanism
PDF Full Text Request
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