Research Of The Influence Of Carbon Tariffs On Chinese Paper Products Exports

The issue of climate change caused widespread concern around the world, and low-carbon economy has become the theme of economic development. In order to curb climate deterioration, many international policies and measures has introduced to reduce the carbon emissions. Also, the developed countries are asked to take more responsibility for emissions reductions. The emission reduction will affect a country’s economy and trade, and the developing countries bear only the "common but differentiated responsibilities". Therefore some developed countries are dissatisfied and intend to collect the carbon tariffs. The paper industry is important basic raw material industry in China and has a very important position in the national economy. At present, the production and consumption of paper products in China are ranked second in the world, export trading is also very powerful]. Besides, the main export market is in the EU. U.S. and Japan. And these countries are most likely to collect the carbon tariffs. Because our country’s technology and equipment are backward, the energy usage effectiveness of paper products is low and the carbon emission is higher. Therefore, the influence of carbon tariffs on exports of Chinese paper products will be significant. So this study has important theoretical and realistic significance.This article mainly is divided into six parts, the first chapter expounds the research background, significance and research status at home and abroad, etc. The second chapter introduces the concept and connotation of carbon tariffs, combined with China’s current status of carbon emissions, find that China is very likely to impose carbon tariffs and it is not conducive to China’s economic development. The third chapter is the descriptive statistics analysis of the current production and trade of paper products in China. The fourth chapter uses input-output model to calculate the direct carbon emissions coefficient and total carbon emissions coefficient of paper products in China from2001to2009. Because Chinese paper products industry continuously improves energy efficiency, carbon emissions coefficient has fallen dramatically. But due to the growing exports, export embodied carbon emissions are high and have been maintained in4000-4000tons. The fifth chapter assumes that the European Union, the United States and Japan to unilaterally impose carbon tariff in China, combined with the export implicit carbon emissions, uses empirical analysis method to forecast the influence degree of the carbon tariffs on Chinese paper products exports. Next, the multivariate linear regression model is used to calculate export price elasticity of China’s paper products. This article will analysis the effect of carbon tariffs on Chinese paper products from the cost of exports, exports, trade terms and international competitiveness. Finally,this paper will analysis conclusions, and put forward some suggestions for government and enterprises.