Study On The Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation Of The County Economic Development Of Chongqing

The county's economic development is an important area for China's economic development, especially in today's society, China has proposed building a new rural policy, and Chongqing as the national urban and rural comprehensive reform pilot area in recent years, the county economy made a major development.Chongqing Municipality since more than a decade, the gap between the county is still evident, therefore, the development of county economy is the focus of economic development of Chongqing Municipality, the development of county economy is the important issue of our research, the county economic development of Chongqing economic the development of great significance.Selected31districts and counties of Chongqing Municipality (2005-2010) data, using two evaluation methods dynamic comprehensive evaluation of the county economic development of Chongqing Municipality, as well as Chongqing Municipality of the County Economic Development made a number of counter-measures and suggestions. The main content of this article include:(1) According to the economic evaluation theory and the County of Chongqing Municipality reality of economic development, the establishment of a county economic evaluation of the Chongqing Municipal index system, the main economic strength indicators, people's living standard indicators, and public service indicators.(2) the use of two dynamic comprehensive evaluation method, one is based on the improved "Scatter", the minimum variance method and timing operator "Improved dynamic comprehensive evaluation, the first use of the improved" Scatter OK each index in the different moments rights weight at the same time analysis of each index the right weight coefficient obtained improvement of there are economic strength, for there is conducive to Chongqing City County economic development of the important factors that development and the people living level of the, followed by the least-squared-error to determine the time the weight of the last operator to find the value of comprehensive evaluation with improved timing and sort the results. The second aspect to the dynamic evaluation of Scatter "based on an improved dynamic comprehensive evaluation of the six years of time series data of the31districts and counties of Chongqing Municipality, and evaluation results to sort.(3) the two dynamic comprehensive evaluation method, the results of a comparative analysis, considering the results of some policy recommendations for the economic development of Chongqing Municipality.This paper has done important work is to present two sets of dynamic comprehensive evaluation model,one is based on the improved"scatter degree method",the minimum variance method and the improved temporal operator dynamic comprehensive evaluation model,this model is a combination of the three methods,the innovation of this article is the three kind of method combining,and based on a temporal operator dynamic comprehensive evaluation model,put forward both the "functional" and "balanced sex"temporal operator,and two weighting,makes the evaluation objects closer to the actual situation,the model also fully reflect the dynamic effect;the two is based on improved"vertical and horizontal method"dynamic comprehensive evaluation model,the innovation of this article is based on the"vertical and horizontal method"of the dynamic comprehensive evaluation model is improved,the improved scatter degree method applied to the vertical and horizontal method in the past,that of the original data of the right processing,embodies all evaluation indexes relative to the evaluation of the degree of importance,and scatter degree method is trying to pull the object being evaluated the overall differences between and,and the The vertical and horizontal method implicit time factor,can fully reflect the dynamic development of the effect of.In this paper, the important work done by two is the two set of model is analyzed, namely the application to the Chongqing county economic development level evaluation, the conclusion is drawn that the results by the two methods are almost the same, only a few districts ranked vary, but overall did not influence, the level of economic development "ring" rankings, the North County middle rank, Southeast Chongqing District ranking is poor, affect the economic development level is the important factor of industrial development, per capita GDP, fixed asset investment, to improve the ranking of Southeast Chongqing districts, namely must change the mode of economic development, highlighting the geographic advantage, development characteristic industry.