Lewis Turning Point And China Agricultural Development Path Chioce:

In2011, China’s urbanization rate reached51.3%, the city’s resident population for the first time more than the rural population, the same time, the primary industry employees in proportion dropped to38.1%, this is a historic change in the social structure in China. Nearly10years, especially since the financial crisis, the scale and speed of China’s rural labor to urban areas continues to increase, from the coast to the mainland the rapid spread of the "labor shortage" phenomenon caused by a wide range of community concern. The end of unlimited labor supply situation, indicating that the cheap labor and the demographic dividend of comparative advantage which has played an important role in30years of China’s rapid economic development is disappearing. The disappearance of the demographic dividend, the increase in the coefficient of dependency is undoubtedly formed the transformation of the traditional Chinese model of development forced mechanism.The arrival of "The Lewis turning point", resulting in the change and agricultural production factors, labor supply and demand in rural areas closely related to the mode of agricultural production has undergone profound transformation.Labor-intensive manufacturing is still the main source of China’s economic growth in the future for a long period of time, the development of secondary industries to absorb large amounts of surplus labor from rural areas.Labor of a large number of transfer of agricultural production,agricultural technology changes direction toward the direction of labor-saving changes, the level of mechanization in agricultural production in China increased year by year,the marginal productivity of labor in agricultural production significantly increased,agricultural production to alternative changes in technology, marking China’s grain industry gradually have a comparative advantage in the context of globalization, China’s implementation of proactive strategies for food security, domestic food prices and international food standards,and the formation of an incentive gains from the international food prices will benefit the ordinary food producersincentives for farmers engaged in agricultural production is feasible in theory.Guangxi is a typical ecological agricultural region of western agricultural labor exporting province, with the accelerated process of industrialization and urbanization, the labor force continued to transfer out of the pace began to slow down. At the same time, the region in particular has begun to show the Beibu Gulf coastal labor shortage eased rural areas a large number of "empty villages" and the phenomenon of land abandonment. The2012government work report pointed out that, should pay more attention in the development process of industrialization and urbanization, agricultural modernization. Must adhere to solve the "three rural" issues as the most important task to further increase the intensity of benefiting the agriculture kulak policy to consolidate and develop the good situation of agriculture and rural areas. The country’s western development "12th Five-Year Plan" also proposed to speed up the development of modern agriculture with special characteristics,western characteristics of agricultural production and processing systems, to increase rural incomes channels, construction of the farmers happy home. Based on this, the Guangxi Modern Agricultural Development for the empirical case, the use of labor migration, urbanization, and related theories, from the viewing angle of the Lewis turning point of departure, Lewis between the two turning points of economic development characteristics, understanding, study Chinese agriculture after Lewis turning pointwill face the challenge and taken policy measures to cope with, and in our country at this stage the labor market, the new features of the food security policy, using the method of statistical analysis, Guangxi, for example, statistical analysis of the Guangxi since the reform and opening up the economy development of the various elements of the contribution rate, comparison of the data analysis concluded that:in the new situation, you should change the traditional over-reliance on simple labor input in the development of strengthening human capital accumulation, increase agricultural productivity. To improve total factor productivity, and increase the contribution rate of technological progress on agricultural production.This article has seven sections. The first and the second part introduces the "Lewis Turning Point" theory, and "The Lewis Turning Point" whether comes to our country made by the scholars from the labor supply, wage rates in rural areas, the Gini coefficient and three aspects of the demographic dividend judgment, come to our country has crossed the Lewis first turning point not yet reached the conclusion of the second turning point in the Lewis; From the perspective of the "Lewis Turning Point" for the third part describes the characteristics and challenges of the present stage of agricultural development in China; The fourth part describes the impact of labor supply to economic development through the reform opening up of the various elements of the contribution rate in the process of economic development of Guangxi Region empirical analysis concluded that, the tradition of relying on the mode of growth of labor input to the direction of the development of human capital, technological progress led growth; Part V Summary of this study, put forward in the face of weak global economy, European debt crisis spread in the new situation., seize the opportunity to develop agriculture secondary industrialization,increase agricultural productivity,information technology,high-tech and advanced business models into the agricultural production and circulation of agricultural products, real increase farmers’income,vigorously develop the food industry with Chinese characteristics, to continue its rapid economic development while maintaining stable and rapid development of agriculture.