| CO2emission caused by fossil energy consumption is the mainreason to the increment of greenhouse gases. Therefore the primarytask of reducing the greenhouse effect is to reduce carbon emissions. Theinternational community to carry out the research on carbon emissions ismainly in terms of economies of scale, the energy structure and carbonemission intensity. According to China’s energy consumption and carbonemission characteristics, based on the Kaya Model, this paper willanalyze the main influencing factors and model the influence of fourdriving factors of carbon emissions: the energy structure, energy intensity,GDP and population. In light of the relationship between China’s energyconsumption and carbon emissions in1990-2009, this paper has made anempirical analysis to quantify the contribution rates of the scale effect,structure effect and technology effect, and then promoted the corresponding policy recommendations on the improvement of energyreduction based on the data analysis.Some conclusions are obtained: In1990-2009China’s carbonemissions showed a rising trend, but growth slowed down, and theturning point came in2003; Over the past20years, the inhibition forChina’s total carbon emissions was mainly due to the increased energyefficiency, and adjustment of energy structure on the emission reductionwas not obvious; The role of energy efficiency for inhibition of carbonemissions was on the wane, and economies of scale growth （GDP） for therole of increased emissions was in enhancing; Long-run equilibriumcointegration existed between energy consumption and economic growth,and the two had one-way Granger causality based on the significant levelof5%. Some references were given in this paper, such as increasing theproportion of clean energy, improving energy consumption structure,accelerating the construction of new energy; conserving energy,improving energy efficiency and strengthening the field of energytechnology research and development efforts. |
PDF Full Text Request