Urbanization, Economic Growth And Energy Carbon Emissions

As Eco-environment protection and climate change have drawn the common attention of most countries, it has been agreed that low-carbon economy shall be vigorously promoted. As a developing country while facing the increasing process of industrialization and urbanization, it becomes a huge challenge and realistic subject for China to control emissions of greenhouse gas, to advance the coordinated and sustained development of economy, society and population, resources and environment. In2010,5provinces and8cities including Guangdong, Yunnan, Shanxi, Hubei, Liaoning, and Tianjin and Chongqing were selected as the low-carbon pilot places. Set in this background, research on the amount of carbon dioxide emissions in the low-carbon pilot provinces will offer theoretical foundation and practical guide to the formulation of development policy on energy-saving and emission-reduction and economic sustainable development, which has great significance of demonstration and reference.This thesis analyzes the mechanism of urbanization, economic growth and carbon emissions through the use of related theory, and estimates the amount of energy carbon dioxide emissions of each province. Based on the environment pressure IPAT equation, establish STIRPAT (Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology) in random ways. Use general panel evaluation to analyze the influence and influence degree of urbanization, economic growth, technological advance and government polices between the year of2000and2010on energy carbon dioxide emissions per capita. Studies have shown that the output effect, strength effect and structure effect of economic growth, level of urbanization all have positive influence on carbon dioxide emissions per capita while the R&D strength and government policies have little influence on carbon dioxide emissions per capita. Among them, GDP per capita has the greatest influence on carbon dioxide emissions per capita. Judging from all contribution rates of all aspects, the contribution rate of GDP per capita is the highest, which has positive contribution to the addition of carbon dioxide emissions per capita. The contribution rate of urbanization is also positive to carbon dioxide emissions per capita. To some extent, energy intensity reduction and industrial structure optimization is able to inhibit the growth of carbon dioxide emissions per capita. Improving energy utilization efficiency has very important effect on controlling and reducing energy carbon emissions. At present, emission-reduction of carbon dioxide of low-carbon pilot provinces can’t count on controlling economic output, but on enhancement of energy efficiency. During the process of urbanization, the idea and methods of low-carbon development need to be merged. Under the premise of accelerating economic growth and urbanization development, we should strive to reduce the carbon dioxide emissions.