Supercavitation Drag Reduction Technology Research And Development Project Risk Management Research

Super vacuoles technology has made great achievements in the world and has made sport in water achieved ultra high speed "flight". At present, Russia has successfully developed the speed of100m/s "storm" super vacuoles torpedo; The United States, Germany, France and other countries are doing the research on basic and application of the cavitation drag reduction technology. China recently launched in super vacuoles of basic research technique.There is a big gap between China and foreign countries no matter in technology or research methods, because our country began to do some research on super vacuoles technology is very late. And it will lead to enormous risk because the variability of project plans, technical uncertainty, imperfect communication, test method selection, test equipment differences, costs, competition of external environment, staff mobility, etc may not be achieve. How to forecast risk, analyze risk, control and avoid risks on management is the difficulties and focus of achieving the project management of super vacuoles technology.This study views the project of super vacuoles technology as a whole and make a combination of R&D project between the project risk management theory and the actual status of super vacuoles technology, and then establishe a risk management system of super vacuoles technology research and development. By using the risk identification method, we make the risk of super vacuoles technology R&D projects into five major categories:schedule risk, the test risk, thchnical risk, cost risk, personnel risk. And then analyze the main risk factors of each category of the five major risks. Moreover, on this basis, we build a risk analysis sysetm of Ⅱ level hierarchical structure by using analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Finally, through identifying the importance of various risk factors and deep researching of risk management and risk prevention, we give prevention stategies to deal with the five major categories of risk. This research not only can reduce the risk of super vacuoles technology R&D projects, but also provide a theoretical basis for similar projects and practical application of reference.