Researeh On The Forecasting Of Entry Tourism Market In Wuhan

In recent years, tourism industry in the world has gained development by leaps and bounds,which become the important new economic growth point in many countries, tourism ushered in the golden development. Inbound tourism in tourism occupies an important position, to increase foreign exchange income, promoting the balance of international payments, enhancement of regional image, driving the development of relative industries and so has important significance. As a regional center city in central China, since reform and opening-up wuhan inbound tourism have generally been steady and rapid development situation, but with tourism developed area compared also has the disparity.This paper take the inbound tourism market in Wuhan as the research object, according to relevant statistics and market research material, using qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis method. From the time, space, consuming structure analysis in wuhan entry of overall features of tourist market, combining these characteristics similar research results from existing to explore wuhan entry tourist market main influencing factors. Appropriate modification basic gravity model, combining the main influence factors to the entry tourism demand construct wuhan gravity model, using time series prediction years with wuhan tourism foreign currency income and tourists changes stay days. Comprehensive above analysis to predict the future of Wuhan inbound tourism overall development situation: Tourist arrivals an annual growth about15%, inbound tourist foreign exchange income about13%average annual growth, entry tourists retention time steadily increasing. Western Europe, Asia, Hong Kong and Taiwan regions, North America will still for the main tourist market. Among them, in Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, Korea and Japan, southeast Asia market proportion will have a faster growth, America and Europe market will based on existing slow growth, Oceania and African market will remain relatively stable. Finally, according to the development status and the result, the paper proposes some speed up the development of wuhan tourism has pointed countermeasure.This article about the entry tourism development of wuhan tourism market situation and the future development trends of the study has important reference meanings in establishing the regional tourism and economic policies.