The Mechanism And Spatial Econometric Analysis Of Manufacturing Agglomeration In Zhejiang

Zhejiang,as one of the economically developed eastern coastal provices,has been widespread concered for its special model of economic development by scholars over the years. Manufacturing industry.as the major industry driving the economic growth of Zhejiang,the agglomeration trend of which has become a hot spot that scholars study for. Usually,the agglomeration mode of manufacturing be divided into two types:one is the government-led mode,the other is market spontaneous mode. The manufacturing agglomeration mode of Zhejiang,which has a higher degree of opening market,obviously is the market spontaneous one.Due to the complexity of the market foctors,it has important and practical significance to study the market spontaneous manufacturing agglomeration.There are five main problems need to be solved in this article:First,how to make clear of the mechanism and foctors which affecting the agglomeration of Zhejiang’s manufacturing by phases.Second,how about the recent spatical development trend of the manufacturing agglomeration in Zhejiang.Third,whether there is manufacturing agglomeration status in Zhejiang’s prefecture-level cities.Forth,from the spatial perspective,whether there existing the spatial correlation in Zhejiang manufacturing and how about the correlation.Fifth,what are the recent factors that affect Zhejiang manufacturing agglomeration.This article firstly combing the literature and have a brief review of industry agglomeration.In the analysis of the mechanism,the paper divide Zhejiang manufacturing agglomeration into three stages,respectively for the initial agglomeration stage,strenthening agglomeration stage and the weaken agglomeration stage.At the same time,the paper systematically analysis the mechanism of the agglomeration for each stage.And the different stages of manufacturing agglomeration is considered as the result of the checks and balances of the centripetal force and centrifugal force.The centrifugal force for manufacturing of Zhejiang mainly manifested as the rise in labor costs and the degree of goverment intervention.In the empirical analysis section,this paper make some conclusions by the quantitative analysis:(1)Affected by the economic crisis of2008,there is a change in the spatial distribution of Zhejiang’s manufacturing valued by the industry output in the eight-year period(from2003to2010),but,the manufacturing spatial distribution back to the state which in the year before2008.The position of some prefecture-level cities’ manufacturing industry output has been transferred in the quartile figure.(2)In the period of2004to2010,there are15industry in Zhejiang keeping agglomeration advantages position nationwide,they are chemical fiber manufacturing industry, leather fur feathers its products industry, textiles, Arts&Crafts and so on.(3)The space Gini coefficient of manufacturing shows that the manufacturing in Zhejiang is evenly distributed between the prefectural-level city.(4) This paper selects11prefectural-level cities of Zhejiang as the research subject, uses the panel data from2003to2010,establishs traditional panel data models and spatial econometric model to make empirical analysis of the factors affecting manufacturing agglomeration of Zhejiang, finds there is positive spacial correlation between prefectural-level cities of Zhejiang manufacturing agglomeration,that is spillover effects.The paper also finds firm size,market size,export and the degree of government intervention are the key factors affecting the manufacturing industry agglomeration in Zhejiang,and the first three factors have the function of promotion, the degree of government intervention has the function of inhibition,but the weaken function of labor costs is not yet fully apparent. The above conclusion is in line with the relevant theoretical and practical economic conditions, so as to achieve the purpose of this research. Finally, based on research findings,put forwad relevant policy recommendations.