Oresearch On The Path Of Development Of Low Carbon Economy In Henan Province

Since the human has entered the era of industrial economy, global warming, environmental pollution, energy crisis and other issues began to appeared, threatening human survival and sustainable development, and has aroused strong concern of the world. So in the context of save energy and reduce pollution, low-carbon economy came into being. Our country is in the stage of accelerated development of industrialization and urbanization, energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions has grown rapidly, which led to a series of energy security and climate issues. Therefore, the research for the guide and protect the development of low-carbon economy, reducing carbon dioxide emissions is urgently needed. As the major traditional agricultural and emerging industrial province in China, Henan Province is in the all-round construction of the Central Plains Economic Zone environment, energy saving and emissions reduction work needs to be urgently strengthened.Based on the analysis of the related theory of low-carbon economy, from the current situation of economic development and energy consumption and carbon emissions in Henan Province and the city, by using the LMDI factors decomposition method, the low-carbon economy in Henan province was studied in1995-2011,and pointed out the key factors affecting its development:the industrial structure, energy intensity, energy consumption structure, population growth, and others. According to the theory of system dynamics and its modeling steps, the SD model of low-carbon economic development of Henan Province was established, including four subsystems:carbon subsystem, economic development subsystem, energy consumption subsystem, social support subsystem, and selected2000as the base year, the system was simulated. After the model is proven to be effective, through the analysis of different design scenarios, the development of low-carbon economy in2012-2020were predicted, and to explore the feasible path of Henan Province to achieve the low-carbon economic development goals. Finally, the conclude is that it’s difficult to achieve policy objectives to carbon emissions in2020, while maintaining the existing proportion of investment in fixed assets, research and development proportion of investment and energy consumption structure in the constant case. Only by optimizing the industry structure upgrade, improving the energy consumption structure and increasing the proportion of research funding, it can achieve the low-carbon economic development of Henan province.Finally, Combined with the practice of Henan province, the countermeasures and suggestions were put forward. Firstly, we should set up consummate policy, financial and technical support mechanism in the development of low carbon economy, Secondly, we should adhere to the road of the low-carbon industrial, agricultural and urban which can coordinated development, and form the pattern of all the people involved in the construction of low carbon economy, and so as to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, achieve the development targets of Henan province.