A Study On The Iranian Nuclear Issue Under The Influence Of Geopolitical Factors

The Iranian nuclear issue has come up for a long time, due to the influence of the politics, economics, relations among major powers and other factors, the Iranian nuclear issue has not been solved and has the trend of escalating. The geopolitical factor is one of the main factors affecting the appearance, the development and the evolution of the nuclear issue. It is conducive to a better understanding of the nature of the Iranian nuclear issue when we analyze the problem from a geopolitical point of view, which provide a solid foundation for further study. Iran is the "crossroads" of Africa, Asia and Europe, Iran, who is extremely rich in oil resources, is the guardian of the world’s energy transport corridor and her strategic position is extremely important. Iran has been played an important role in the global strategy of the United States.Because of the very close relations between America and Iran during the Pahlavi King, the United States gave Iran a variety of assistance including nuclear technology. After the1979Islamic revolution in Iran, Iran and the United States became enemies with each other. The United States not only terminated assistance to Iran’s nuclear technology, but also gave the pressure to Iran by accusing Iran’s nuclear program of violating the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, in an attempt to change the color of the Islamic regime of Iran. Thus, the Iranian nuclear issue is essentially the Iran-American relations. Once the Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran "sweepingly changes", the strategic objectives of the U.S that controlling the energy base in the Middle East firmly, squeezing the geo-strategic space of China and Russian, maintaining the security of its allies in the Middle East and strengthening her hegemony will possibly achieve. In order to safeguard national security and fight for dominance of the Gulf region, Iran will not easily give up its nuclear program. The attitude on the Iranian nuclear issue of the major powers of the world for example Russia, the European Union, Israel, India, which depend on their own geo-strategic considerations is different, which increased the complexity and difficult in solving the Iranian nuclear crisis.Since2010, large-scale demonstrations and armed conflicts erupted in the countries of the Middle East. And the unrest continues to spread in the type of "beaded" and "multi-flowering". New geopolitical pattern in the Middle East emerged:the "fragmentation" trend of the Middle East geopolitical plates is more obvious, The Islamic forces in the Middle East is rising and Israel’s geopolitical situation fell into isolation. The new geopolitical situation in the Middle East brought new influences on the evolution and the development of the Iranian nuclear issue. Since the US-led Western is struggling to cope with the sudden change in the Middle East, Iran enjoys objectively the relatively relaxed geopolitical environment in a period which can be used to promote nuclear program. But since Syria, Iran’s unique ally in the Arab world,is gradually sliding into the abyss of civil war, it is obvious that the western try to overthrow the regime of Bashar, Bashar al-Assad’s rule is precarious; Because the United States accused Iran of assassination of the Saudi ambassador and a series of other events, Arab countries strengthened their precaution to Iran; and changing situation in the Middle East increased the tension of the sensitive nerve of Israel, the possibility of Iran suffering from a "pre-emptive" strikes may increase. Therefore, in the medium and long term, Iran’s geopolitical environment has the risk of deterioration. It is one of the established policy of the United States that taking use of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East to overthrow the Islamic regime of Iran by force quickly before it "inflate". However, due to the shadow of the world economic crisis has not completely subsided, the United States has not yet completely get out from the "quagmire" of war against Afghanistan and Iraq, and because of American "strategic center of gravity eastward shift "strategy, it is unlikely for the United States to implement a military strike on Iran in the near future.Expanding sanctions, infiltration and strategic deterrence become the first choice of the United States. Because Iran has been contained by the West since1979,in the face of a variety of means from the United States,"soldiers to be blocked, the water to soil cover" is the main strategy of Iran. The United States and Iran will continue to deal with each other in public and non-public, the Iranian nuclear crisis is likely to once again fall into tension-relaxation-tense-detente "infinite cycle.