Research On The Driving Factors And Structure Of Chinese Logistics Industry Carbon Emission

Development of the logistics industry of China is mixed, hand: the rapid expansion ofthe scale of logistics industry, logistics volume expanding, total logistics costs continue to rise;on the other hand: to improve management efficiency of slow, carbon intensity, poor ability ofhigh advanced logistics service, logistics industry carbon emissions of implicit demand ofindustry centralization. The development of the logistics industry of China in recent years,based on the current situation, combined with the future development of the real demand oflogistics industry of our country economy, systematic analysis of the trend and the law ofdevelopment of the logistics industry of our country energy consumption; the driving factorsin different periods and its contribution to the logistics industry carbon intensity; throughcarbon path analysis of influencing factors on, explore the level of industrial development,energy structure on the impact of the logistics industry of carbon emissions; the paper furtherexplored the distribution structure of logistics industry of explicit and implicit carbon industry.The main contents of this paper:1: analysis of the logistics industry development present situation and carbon emissionstatus. The results show that: China’s logistics industry is developing rapidly, but the energyconsumption is also growing in tandem with the logistics efficiency, no obvious improvement.From1991to2010this20year period, the total social logistics rise sharply, storage costshave been high, accounting for about30%of the total logistics costs, management costs havebeen accounted for a high of more than12%, logistics management efficiency is relativelylow; energy consumption from1994to2008has increased by5times; while the gradualreduction in1994to in1996, but after1996, carbon emissions, carbon emissions rose steadily,the logistics total carbon emissions in2008was3.2times that of1996.2: the driving factors of logistics industry carbon emissions intensity based on AWDmethod. The results showed that: during the period of1994~2008, carbon dioxide emissionsintensity change of the logistics industry is "fluctuation inverted" N "shape, can be dividedinto three stages: rapid decline, before1996years1997~1999rebound so far in2000and thesteady decline stage; change the carbon intensity of energy intensity and energy structure invarious stages of development in the logistics industry, the logistics industry will have apositive or negative driving effect. Nineteen ninties before a few years, reduce the logisticsindustry in the carbon intensity of energy structure and energy intensity, is the logisticsindustry driven, contribution rate of about30%and70%respectively; the late90’s, theintensity of carbon emissions growth, mainly by the energy intensity, energy structure factorswere the reverse effect after2000; the carbon emissions intensity, the logistics industry toenter the decline period, and a steady downward trend, energy intensity factors still bodypresents factors driving strong, energy structure factors weakened, indicated in the logisticsindustry in the development process, the adjustment of energy structure have a positive effecton the intensity of carbon emissions.3: analysis of the logistics industry carbon emission factors based on path analysis. Theresults showed: has the different influence the level of industrial development, energy structure, the level of infrastructure, economic scale expansion, technology development ofthe logistics industry, logistics value added per unit of carbon emissions; energy consumptionhas a positive driving up to12.20%of carbon emissions, energy structure of a direct impacton the logistics industry carbon emissions as negative drive, while the energy structure oflogistics industry carbon emissions indirect effect is larger than its direct effect, thus formedthe positive driving, driving force reached0.883; the infrastructure of logistics industrycarbon positive driving strength is greater, the direct effect is0.752, the indirect effects of0.2286, comprehensive driving force reached0.9806; the expansion of economic scalethrough indirect effects of infrastructure to achieve0.7159, the end of the logistics industrycarbon emissions comprehensive carbon emissions reached0.9646; directly affect thetechnical level has the inhibitory action to the logistics industry carbon emissions.4: analysis of the logistics industry carbon structure based on whole life cycle. Theresults show that: the development of China’s logistics industry is rapid, but the level is stillrelatively low, high-end industry logistics service still rely on imports, logistics servicesfocused on energy intensive and labor-intensive industries, logistics carbon source on capitalformation in the construction industry accounted for the total logistics to discharge about27%;in addition, the final consumption in the wholesale and retail and service industries such assingle carbon emissions accounted for39.58%of the total emissions of final consumption,that wholesale and retail and service industries focus on final consumption, development andits development is very dependent on logistics. China’s logistics industry is in a high-speedgrowth period, compared with the international level, regardless of size and quality have verybig development space.o discharge about27%; in addition, the final consumption in thewholesale and retail and service industries such as single carbon emissions accounted for39.58%of the total emissions of final consumption, that wholesale and retail and serviceindustries focus on final consumption, development and its development is very dependent onlogistics. China’s logistics industry is in a high-speed growth period, compared with theinternational level, regardless of size and quality have very big development space.