Novel Dynamic Mechanism Of Urbanization VAR Model

Before the eighteenth national congress of the communist party of China largesturbanization mainly guided by the government, too much emphasis on landurbanization, ignore the industry supporting role and the development of modernagriculture, resulting in the loss of high quality labor force in rural areas. While thenew urbanization emphasizes the transfer of population, industry development, newindustrialization as a dynamic, modern agriculture and modern service industry tosupport city modernization.The dynamic mechanism of urbanization is in the process of urbanizationdevelopment of long-term, due to various economic factors, social factors andpopulation factors work together, cause, maintain, strengthen and deepen, widely (thatis, the output and diffusion) or under certain conditions urbanization process and theeffect way of comprehensive effect. According to the connotation and characteristicsof the new urbanization and new towns dynamic mechanism model of agriculturalmodernization as the main thrust, industrial modernization as the main force, modernservice industry for the coma.On the one hand, presents the benign interaction between the new and dynamicmechanism of urbanization pattern, on the other hand, between the various dynamicmechanism are not completely separated, which not only has a mutual influence,interaction of the situation. The dynamic mechanism of forming dynamic mechanismof a uniform and continuous system, promoting new urbanization process. Jiangsuurbanization and agricultural modernization, industrialization and service processingand inspection of the original data form1990to2012based on VAR model, usingquantitative analysis method of impulse response function and variancedecomposition to analyze dynamic mechanism of urbanization in Jiangsu province.The results of empirical analysis shows that changes of the new town in Jiangsuprovince by the perturbation impact was gradually decreasing trend, affected by theimpact of the disturbance itself have been gradually decreasing trend of decrease fromthe initial1to0.723192. And other economic variables is the contribution of newurbanization of the disturbance is on the rise, among them, the contribution rate ofagricultural modernization of the new urbanization increased from0to0.077135, thecontribution rate of industrialization of new urbanization increased from0to0.146938, services for the contribution rate of urbanization in the new increased from 0to0.052735, the results of the empirical analysis with the qualitative analysis of thenew type of dynamic mechanism of urbanization of Jiangsu province handled in theconclusion, namely the new urbanization of Jiangsu province industrial modernizationis the main thrust, the pull force of the agricultural modernization, the development ofmodern service industry have yet to be. Finally combining qualitative and quantitativeanalysis results puts forward Suggestions on new path of urbanization construction inJiangsu province.