A Study On The Method Of Traffic Demand Forecasting For Metropolitan Coordination Region

Metropolitan coordination region is a epoch-making district configuration in the modern economy evolution times,and the inevitable result of various city development.Traffic is the important basal establishment of Metropolitan coordination region,and the carrier of every town in MCR.Integrated traffic system is the vitals and existent carrier of MCR.Since the opening up and reform, the process of urbanization and mobilization is developing at a high speed in China,leading to the forming of MCR.Our country’s MCR is developing and the traffic planning is not consummate.The traffic planning is important for the development of MCR.The pivotal function of traffic planning is based on the balance of accommodate and demand.The development of traffic demand forecast not only strengthen the traffic planning,but also accelerate the traffic planning to the balance of accommodate and demand from the simplex establishment arraying,and solve the imbalance of accommodate and demand.This thesis makes profound study on the problems of MCR traffic developmen in order to provide instructive guidance to further study in China.This thesis summarizes the developmental experience,and bring forward the development direction of MCR traffic in China.This thesis explains the theory and methodology of forecasting traffic demand,analyses the adaptability of each methodology,and bring forward the appropriate methodology for MCR in China.