Forecast Of Natural Gas Demand In

PG city, located in southwest China, is the largest production base of vanadium and iron and steel in the west of China. It is a resource-based city that regards the titanium magnetite resources development and utilization as the core of industry. In2012, PG city’s population reaches1.1767million and the gross national product is74.003billion yuan. Due to the remote mountainous area, there is no use of clean energy and heavy pollution. According to the plan of natural gas pipeline construction, southwest of petrochina pipeline company plans to build a long natural gas pipeline for the city of PG to better support PG city economic construction and social development. It solves probem of the green low carbon economy development of PG city and brings the good chance for the PG city gas utilization.The thesis obtained the information by the relevant departments of the city of PG research, and according to the relevant data collection, using linear regression analysis and correlation coefficients, predicted natural gas market demand of PG City in2013-2025from residents, public service commercial, industrial, automotive.Forecasting results show:2013demand forecast for the amount of natural gas is PG City53736000Nm3, of which:the amount of gas demand forecast for the5.73million residents Nm3; public service commercial gas demand forecast volume of900,000Nm3; industrial gas demand forecast volume of522.88million Nm3; automobile gas demand forecast volume of7,850,000Nm32013industrial user demand for natural gas accounted for97.88%PG City forecasts total demand forecast amount.In2015,PG city gas demand forecast volume is1,292,300,000Nm3.Demand forecast for2020is1,706,420,000Nm3, demand forecasting volume in2025will reach1,742,228,000Nm3. Finally, according to the predicted results, it analied the PG City gas market development situation,and giving the analysis suggested of gas price affordability, gas volatility, lose program...