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The Influence Of Changing Of Demographic Dividend On The Foreign Direct Investment Inflow In China

Posted on:2016-05-14Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:X LuoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2297330464974819Subject:International Trade
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Demographic dividend on the effects of FDI, Judging from the national data, The total labor population change positively correlated with FDI, The decline in the demographic dividend in China led to the FDI growth stabilization, from the date of the different parts, The total labor force acting on the effect of FDI is waning in the Since the Reform and Opening-up 30 years, Demographic dividend had attracted many foreign investment, and had play an important role on China’s economy.With the continuous development of China’s economy.both the demographic dividend and foreign investment has been changed.Based on the research, China’s aging population proportion had reached 0.07 In 1999, which marked we had stepped into an aging society.At the same time, the growth rate of China’s labor population was negative for the first time in 2012, the growth rate of foreign investment was slowing down, Whether the disappearing demographic dividend can attract the foreign investment or not, it is worth to have a research.At first, this paper explain the background and meaning of the research, and define some basic concepts.then this paper study the demographic dividend literature at home and abroad, As well as the literature review of FDI.Based on past experience experience, we get the analysis that changes of the demographic dividend should be divided into volumes and structural.Secondly, this paper analyzes the situation of the demographic dividend and the FDI in China, According to the international standard of age structure, our country had stepped into the an aging society since 1999, the growth rate of foreign investment was slowing down in 2012,thirdly, this paper set up a dynamic model Accord to the theory about demographic dividend and FDI.using the two-step GMM estimation method and the date of China and different provinces from 1995-2013, we have studied the change of eastern region, Eastern industry is changing from labor-intensive to capital or technology intensive.while the labor force acting on the effect of FDI is obvious in the central and western regions, the phenomenon of labor shortage is really happened in the central and western regions, with the same method, The article inspects the impact of structural changes in demographic dividend. Judging from the national data, population burden ratio of China is increasing, FDI is also disappearing, Judging from the the central and western dates, FDI of The eastern region still has a high return on capital, FDI is really disappearing in the the central and western regions, At the same time, the domestic investment of the central and western regions have on extrusion effect on the FDI, At last, according to the above analysis, we hold the opinion that the plenty of domestic investment in the central and western regions are not all benefit, We suggest the policy of Labor backflow and stimulus the FDI.
Keywords/Search Tags:Demographic dividend, Foreign direct investment, GMM estimation
PDF Full Text Request
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