Technology Early-warning Study Based On Patent Data

In a Knowledge-Based Economy, the speed of technology development andknowledge update obviously paces up, and the life-circle period of the technologydevelopment becomes shorter and shorter. Technology has been the decisive factor toaccelerate the development of productivity and the progress of human society and the coreelements of competition among countries, industries and enterprises. Now it decides thecomprehensive competitiveness of a country/region. Since China’s accession to the WTO,economic develops fast. However, due to various reasons such as history, the currentoverall level of science and technology is relatively low, with less core technology, higherforeign technology dependence and lower independent innovation ability. In recent years,the technology barriers and technical actions have seriously restricted the development ofmany industries and enterprises in our country.According to the level of early-warning in our country, this paper research on relatedconditions of early-warning and technology early-warning, using the method of literaturemetrology. Based on the analysis of the situation, this paper tries to establish the feasibletechnology early warning model. Patent is the property of technology and it become apowerful technical means of competition between companies. The patent data is a verygood reaction of development trend throughout the country, an industry, or enterprisetechnology. Therefore, this paper study on technology early-warning based on the patentdata as the main data source, with enterprises as the research object, to warn the technicalbarriers and technical disputes, to help enterprises find the problem as early as possible andbe prepared, so as to avoid technical dispute events, or reduce the sudden and unexpectedsmall events, shorten the reaction time; analysis of patent intelligence detection can providedecision-making reference for r&d and patent hedging.This paper mainly revolves around China enterprise technology early-warningresearch, and the research mainly includes three aspects: definition, methods research andcase analysis.The first aspect is definition. It mainly introduces the concepts of technologyand early-warning, and analyze the technology early-warning, technology forecasting,patent early-warning and then this paper study on technology early-warning based on thepatent data; The second aspect is methods research.It mainly introduced the technologyearly-warning index system based on the patent data and technology early-warning model based on the patent data.It mainly includes the technology early-warning index system,index quantification, the evaluation of index system, etc.; The third aspect is case analysis.Itselected the key enterprises in the field of energy saving and emission reduction forempirical research on technology early-warning model based on patent data.According to the study of the three levels of the technology early warning, this paperhope to provide theory support to cope with a growing number of technical disputes andpatent disputes among companies, industry of our country.