The Energy Consumption Analysis Of Export In China

Since China’s reform and opening up, China has got a rapid and stable economic growth. At the same time, substantial increasing of China’s energy consumption has stirred up global concern. China’s economic growth model is export oriented, and exports play a more and more significant role in economic growth. However, the unreasonable structure of export products determines that much embodied energy is contained in export products, which greatly stimulate the energy consumption. With the energy gap’s expansion and public opinion on China’s environmental quality, energy has been a significant factor that restrict our country’s economic growing further. It is obviously necessary to explore the relationship between export and energy consumption in both short and long term.In this paper, the empirical analysis consists of two parts. Analyze the energy consumption using econometric model and time series data over year 1993-2012. With VAR model, co-integration analysis, Granger causality test and impulse response analysis, significant empirical evidence is found that the ratio of export trade in GDP aroused the increasing of per capital energy consumption. Reasonable explanation is that the energy consumption of international trade related factors is higher than the energy consumption of the correspondent domestic factors.In the second part of the empirical analysis, to verify above hypothesis, energy embodied in China trade goods in 2010 was calculated based on 24 selected factors, using input-output analysis. This empirical result is consistent with the assumption in the first part of the empirical analysis that the energy consumption of export trade related factors is relatively higher, and the energy consumption of import trade is the lowest. Prospective policy suggestions in four aspects are given after the empirical analysis.