The Development And Upgrading Of Anhui’s S Automobile Industry Based On The Industry Life Cycle

Industrial development in the automotive industry occupies an important position in the country, and many countries treat the automotive industry as an important symbol to measure a country’s level of economic development, science and technology and as a pillar industry. Anhui’s automobile industry started in the1960s, and has developed into a Chery and JAC-based industrial structure with the rapid development of the automotive industry. However, with negative growth for2010-2012, Anhui’s automobile industry production industry issues gradually exposed. Compared with the international automobile industry, Anhui’s automobile industry lacks of innovation and core technology and compared with the domestic automobile industry, market profitability and industrial supporting capacity are weak. To this end, research about Anhui’s automobile industry to upgrade and promote the development of the automobile industry in Anhui’s Province have important practical significance.Study on Anhui’s automobile industry itself evolution, learning from the industry life cycle theory and using logistic curve fit Anhui’s automobile industry1992-2012model years of industry growth curve, and determine that the current Anhui’s automobile industry has matured. And using gray clustering analysis method empirically analyses the class capability of the mature stage of the2009-2012Anhui’s automobile industry; and made suggestions about Anhui’s automobile industry upgrading. Paper is divided into the following four parts as follows:First, elaborates the theory of industrial upgrading and industrial life cycle theory. Describes the concept and upgrade path of industrial upgrading, and the meaning and form of the industry life cycle theory, and the phase characteristics of the industry life cycle and dynamic mechanism of phase characteristics of the industry life cycle. Focuses on the relations between the industrial life cycle and industrial upgrading, and describes the different industrial life cycle stages, and industrial upgrading path.Secondly, analyses the development of Anhui’s automobile industry statically and dynamically. Statically analyses the current status of Anhui’s automobile industry development and development issues. Using logistic curve model fits Anhui’s automobile industry industry growth curve during1992-2012,dynamically analyses the evolution of Anhui’s automobile industry itself. The results show that Anhui’s automobile industry has matured currently.Again, empirically analyses Anhui’s automobile industry upgrade capability. And uses gray clustering analysis method to empirically analyse upgrading capacity which in the mature stage of the2009-2012Anhui’s automobile industry. Results show that the ability to upgrade Anhui’s automobile industry in technological upgrading and manufacturing capacity are strongger than that of the national, and market profitability and components supporting capability are weaker.Finally, suggestions about Anhui’s automobile industry upgrading. Combining the life cycle of research of Anhui’s automobile industry and empirical analysis of Anhui’s automobile industry upgrading capability, determines the upgrading direction and path of Anhui’s automobile industry, and proposes Anhui’s automobile industry upgrading concrete suggestions.