The Impact Of Technological Advance,Changes In The Industrial Structure On Employment

"Steady economic growth" and "promote employment" has been two important goals of economic and social development which impact people’s life.In recent years,through technological advances and the industrial structure adjustment, China’s economy has maintained high-speed development of the annual growth rate of about8%.In stark contrast, China’s employment growth and economic growth are not coordinated, the employment situation is very grim.Zhejiang Province is one of China’s most economically developed provinces, is also facing rapid economic development and slow job growth problems.Thus, when advances in technology, optimize the economic structure in order to promote economic growth, how to handle the relationship between technological progress, industrial restructuring and employment to ensure the steady growth of employment is particularly important.Firstly, expounded on how the technological progress impact on the employment directly and through the change of industrial structure. Indirect path of how technological advances affect the employment: technological advances by changing the structure of demand, the level of inter-industry association, trade levels, leading industry and production factors to influence the industrial structure, thereby affecting employment.Direct path of how technological progress affect employment considerations from both supply and demand.Demand side includes four effects:first class job loss effect, the second effect of job losses, job creation effect of the first category, the second category of employment creation effect.Next carried out a detailed analysis of the status of technological’ advancement,the industrial structure and employment.And according to two indexes about the degree of deviation of structure and employment elasticity,we analysis of the relationship between the further industrial structure and employment structure. Overall, the prefectural-level city in Zhejiang Province, technological progress (TFP) in2004--2012years basic upward trend;Industrial structure, the proportion of primary industry output fell, two, three industrial output rising proportion of secondary industry is still dominant;Employment structure, changes in trends and changes in trends in its industrial structure is the same, the second industry occupies a dominant position, the proportion of primary industry employment declined, while secondary and tertiary industries increased the proportion of employment;Aspects of the relationship between industrial structure and employment structure, the first industrial employment elasticity fluctuations, two, three industrial employment elasticity is relatively stable, the first industry reflects more the role of the reservoir;Structural deviation of three industries have tended to equilibrium, the first industrial structure deviation is positive, the labor force to be transferred to other industries, the tertiary industry structure deviation is negative, pending absorb more labor, while the second industry seems almost wildly reached equilibrium.Then, based on C-D function constructed panel model includes GDP, real wages, technological progress, secondary and tertiary industries accounted for, changes in the strength of the industrial structure, urbanization and other variables, according to the11prefecture-level city in Zhejiang Province panel data, verify technology progress, industrial structure change for the employment impact of Zhejiang Province.Sample estimates showed that the proportion of secondary industry output value had no significant effect on employment, while the interaction terms of second industrial technology and the proportion of secondary industry have significantly correlated with employmerit,indicating that technology should increase investment in secondary industries to promote their transformation and upgrading; The output value of the tertiary industry employment has a significant positive effect, while the technological progress of tertiary industry and the interaction term of tertiary industry have significant negative correlation with employment, indicating that we should vigorously develop the tertiary industry, due to increase investment in the tertiary industry technology.Finally, based on theoretical and empirical analysis, we propose policy to promote employment in Zhejiang Province in technological progress and industrial restructuring.