Analysis Of Influence Factors Of China’s Provincial Carbon Emissions

In order to change the present situation of global warming and the deterioratingenvironment, countries around the world are seeking ways to control greenhouse gas,the traditional mode of economic development already cannot adapt to the need ofcontemporary society, so the low-carbon economy appear. The World Bank reportshows that in2010, China’s carbon dioxide emissions reached82tons, and Chinahas become the most global carbon emissions country. Chinese energy consumptionhas reached the first place in the world, making China under intense pressure on theenvironment and the international politics. Therefore, the carbon emission reductionactivities must be carried out immediately. Study on the influence factors of carbonemissions is the foundation of formulating carbon reduction policies, andconstruction of the carbon trading market is the carbon emission reduction means.As early as1970, Ehrlich put forward IPAT model, which is proposed for thedetermination of environmental stress factors, he pointed out that population,economy and technology is the main factors. Based on the analysis, the purpose ofthis paper is to study the factors that influence the provincial carbon emissions.There are significant differences in the influence factors of carbon emission, such asindustrial structure and energy intensity, causing carbon emission reduction’s spacedisequilibrium. It is difficult to change this situation in the short term, so the analysisof carbon emissions can provide scientific basis for carbon reduction effectively. Inthis paper, the main research content includes:(1) Calculating and analyzing China’sand provincial carbon emissions. Selecting eight types of fossil energy, using theIPCC recommended method to calculate the carbon emissions. The results show that there is a big gap between provincial carbon emissions, high carbon emissions comefrom the large coal-producing and population provinces.(2) Based on the extendedSTIRPAT model, structuring carbon emissions influence factor model, then we cananalysis the influence of various factors on carbon emissions and contribution. Thispaper makes an empirical study on influencing factors of carbon dioxide emissionsand carbon intensity data of2005-2012in30regions, according to the empiricalstudy results, proposing carbon reduction strategy of each area. The results show that,there is N type curve between economic development and carbon emissions, andurbanization factor, industrial structure factor in the two models are not significant.(3) On the premise of the construction of the national carbon market, accounting forprovincial carbon emission reduction pressure in2015, we can analysis of regionalproblems.(4) The construction of regional carbon trading system by the analysis ofthe factors of carbon emission and reduction pressure effects on the carbonemissions is in order to provide the theoretical basis for the establishment of thecarbon trading market.