| Power industry development greatly depends on power market. Analysis and forecast of power market is the basic work for power companies to make themselves adapted to market economy,ensure their return on investment and promote economic benefits. From known conditions of economic society and power demand,inherent relations and development laws of load are researched by analyzing history data. Based on forecasting results of economic and social development in future years,power demand can be forecasted.This is the base of electric network operation, planning, scheduling, marketing and making financial budgets.Power system load forecasting plays an important part not only in theory but also in practice.Firstly, this chapter introduces the basic situation, resource profile and economic development of Baotou City, etc and structural contradictions exist, the development of quality and efficiency in the economic and social development of Baotou are identified, at the same time, power structure and the situation of electrical load are overviewed;Secondly, the basic principles, characteristics, classification of the electricity demand forecast and predictive factors affecting electricity market are detailly descripted, the elasticity coefficient method, the output value of consumption, regression analysis and other methods for the electricity demand forecast are overviewed comprehensively; Thirdly, Baotou national Economic and Social planning are introduced, and the social consumption of Baotou are forecasted in the elastic coefficient method, regression analysis and other methods and three predictions of low high school program are made, the load forecasting of Baotou is made by using the maximum load hours France, large users, time series method, and three predictions of low high school program are made; Finally, main problems in the development of Baotou power and solutions from the short-term and long-term to these problems and attention to in development of power of Baotou are raised. |
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