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Research On The Model Of Decision-making For Project Investment Opportunity Based On Game Theory

Posted on:2016-09-28Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:S LiuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2309330479999282Subject:Technical Economics and Management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
There is an eternal theme about adjusting and optimizing structure, which is an important measure to promote the development of society and improve people’s standard of living.Structure adjustment not only about economic structural adjustment, but also industrial structural optimization. With the development of regional economy and the alternate of industrial upgrading, it brings new opportunities and new challenges to the development of society. In the process of structural adjustment, there are many investment opportunities for investors, which brings the promising investment projects. However investment project has many characteristics, such as irreversible and complex system, that need to be effective decision-making before investing in the project. It is becoming the key of investment project decision about investment opportunity research.For the paper, which is in the perspective of investors, for the purpose of investment projects profitable,for the research object on the government, investors, banks, which are the main stakeholders to investment project. For investors to build a decision model according to different investment opportunities, that can balance the relationship between the government and banks, when the investors make its decision on the investment project opportunities. Only it is choose the investment opportunities effectively and avoid the investment blindly, can the investors achieve the maximize returns.First of all, the research about investment opportunity and the influence factors of decision-making, that is the foundation of investment opportunity recognition mechanism model. Secondly, according to the existing literatures and the related report to establishing the mechanism of the investment opportunity recognition model, which is mainly from the factors of investment opportunity identification about the external environment, resource conditions, social norms, individual willingness. These have played a role to restrict on investment opportunity recognition. Then, using the game theory to analyse the investment opportunity. It is need to assume the model about government, investors, banks. According to the signaling game, the investors and the government carry on the separating equilibrium and confusion equilibrium. Meanwhile, for investors and Banks carry on the payoff matrix game. Finally, for the article, according to Nankai alumni association and Wuqing government cooperation project, the integration of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region innovation entrepreneurship project to example analysis. For the project, which can identify the investment opportunities, that need to analyse Nankai alumni association and Wuqing government according to separating equilibrium.
Keywords/Search Tags:investment opportunities in decision-making, stakeholder, game model, refined bayesian equilibrium
PDF Full Text Request
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