Research On Enterprise Financial Risk And Its Early Warning System

The competition of market economy is full of many uncertainties, a variety of risks and crises will make the life of the enterprise in the increasingly fierce competition is very fragile, in our country economy running in the new normal situation is even more so. Many domestic and international examples show that the enterprise is in crisis and the financial crisis is a symptom of the crisis.. Enterprise financial crisis is usually caused by many reasons, but the financial risk of the enterprise especially the financial crisis is not suddenly appeared, all through the reserves, germination, evolution, approaching, highlighting the role and the accumulation and development stage. If the enterprise can not take the positive and effective measures to deal with all kinds of challenges, then it will produce financial risk, causing great loss to the enterprise.. Therefore, the establishment of enterprise financial risk early warning system in a scientific forecast and do a good job of tracking and monitoring of enterprise financial operation, sensitive to deal with the financial crisis threatened, strong theoretical and practical value.This paper discusses the financial risk and financial risk early warning theory, is combined with the relevant research results at inside and abroad, in the study of financial risk early warning index system and financial indicators and non-financial indicators qualitative analysis based on, early warning model was constructed and the financial risk of our country in recent years, a number of listed companies as the research object, using the SPSS statistical analysis software, the multivariate logistic regression analysis method, constructed by total assets growth rate, rate of return on assets and other financial indicators as the independent variables of enterprise financial risk early warning model, and the test results, in order to our country enterprise financial risk early warning research.The main content relates to the content of this study in the structure divided into the following five parts: the first part is the introduction, introduces the research on financial risk and financial risk early warning, the background, existing research results at home and abroad. The purpose of this paper is to carry out research, frame structure and research method of study; the second part is the financial risk and the financial risk early warning theory overview. This paper introduces the concept, features and causes of financial risk, and expounds the method of identifying financial risk and its influencing factors. The content, theoretical research and early warning method of the early warning of financial risk are described and compared, which lays a solid theoretical foundation for the following empirical analysis; the third part for financial risk early warning system research design and index selection. The financial risk early warning index system construction principles and indicators for qualitative analysis and early warning system for the study sample, early warning indicators and research variables are selected; the fourth part for our country listed company’s financial risk early warning empirical research and test results. Choice of our country in recent years, some listed companies as a sample, using the multivariate logistic regression analysis method to establish the financial early-warning model and tested the model results; the fifth part conclusion and prospect. The basic conclusions of the paper and the problems to be solved in the future are presented.