Research On Parking Demand Forecasting In Tonghua

The main task of urban static traffic is to solve the parking problem.Through the urban parking planning,reasonable guide parking demand.Prediction of urban parking demand is the forecast of future parking scale.This paper analyzes the current situation of urban parking by taking into account the influence of urban land and road traffic.Grasp the inherent law of development,use scientific methods to predict the future parking scale and make the future parking demand reasonable size,uniform distribution,reasonable structure.Parking facilities can not only meet the size of the current urban parking needs,but also for the future parking facilities to provide adequate space.It is of great significance to realize the scientific and reasonable urban parking demand forecast.In this paper,the parking demand of the city is taken as the research object,according to the problems,the theoretical analysis,the parking investigation,the model construction and the application of the model.First of all,the problems of urban parking in China are analyzed.The research results and development trend of domestic and foreign scholars are analyzed.This paper is based on the current development trend.It has considered the actual situation of the study area,the main research content and the technical route of the thesis are determined.Through the theoretical analysis,this paper analyzes the urban parking facilities and urban parking demand.This paper analyzes the factors that affect the parking demand from the macro and micro perspectives,and this can provide the basis for the selection of the model parameters and the construction of the model.Determine the content and implementation of parking investigation.The survey methods and questionnaire were designed for parking facilities supply and parking characteristics investigation.The characteristics of the target parking turnover rate,berth utilization,peak parking index were defined and analyzed.The parking demand forecasting model is analyzed.According to the characteristics of parking demand,the basic parking demand forecasting model and the urban social parking demand forecasting model are constructed respectively.The parameter of each prediction model is given.This paper takes the parking demand forecast of Jilin in Tonghua as an example.Based on the investigation of parking in Tonghua,the general situation of parking supply,the distribution of parking area and the characteristics of parking utilization are analyzed.Grasp the characteristics of the development of parking in Tonghua,and get the parameters of the model.The basic parking demand and the social parking demand are predicted by using the parking forecasting model.This has demonstrated the applicability of the parking investigation implementation plan and the parking demand forecasting model.In the process of application,the model is adjusted and optimized to make the model more reasonable.