Based On The System Dynamics, The Financial Evaluation Of The Construction Project Of The Nursing Home

As the fifth plenary session decided to open up the second child populate policy implementation,show that an aging population has become increasingly serious in our country.Our government encourages social forces to set up a private nursing home in order to solve the endowment.More and more old people are also changing ideas Comply with the tide Private nursing home happily out of the family,choosing to inspire them.So the private nursing home construction project feasibility study with correct decision resources reasonable configuration to reduce and avoid investment risk.Private nursing home construction project operation within the system with nonlinear factors in the interaction and there are complex feedback causal relationship.Investment in the private nursing home construction project main characteristic is the payback period is long,from construction to operation period of at least 20 years the market supply and demand of the changing in the interim,relevant national policy changes,changes in interest rates is unpredictability.The system dynamics method combined with construction project economic evaluation method for private nursing home for financial evaluation of construction projects,and can meet the project uncertainty characteristics of dynamic change and internal cause and effect feedback.Paper private nursing home construction project system dynamics model is set up,and with XA private nursing home construction project case simulation,thus obtained private nursing home beds demand volumes total cost and profit after tax revenues and 20 years of trend diagram and related basic financial statements.And the project profitability and single factor sensitivity analysis,determine the private nursing home construction project financially feasible,thus providing scientific and reliable investment decision-making basis for investors.