The Risk Warning Of Urban Complex's Development And Empirical Analysis

Urban complexes exhibit several of huge comprehensive benefits,including promoting industrial restructuring,effectively stimulating consumer demand,improving the function of urban areas,creating a lot of jobs,creating sustainable sources of revenue.So the urban complex has been rapid development in recent years.However,the development process of China's urban complex is short,part of the development enterprise lack experience of planning and operations,some local governments strongly encourage the building of urban complexes,resulting in unreasonable construction of complex urban.Some built complexes have been operating difficulties,a stream of building complexes is exacerbating the oversupply of complexes.According to statistics,as of 2015,seven cities have more than the overall amount of 20 million square meters of urban complexes,Beijing is only a first-tier city.There are 12 cities of per capita complex area exceeding 0.40 m2.it does not contain Beijing?shanghai?Guangzhou and Shenzhen.Thus,it does not match the development of China's urban complex and the level of local economic and social development.Second and third tier cities in the development of urban complex are ahead of first-tier cities.However,the development of the urban complex is closely related to the development of the city.The success of urban complex deeply depends on the success of development of the city.Therefore,the pace of development of urban complex in some cities or regions should be vigilant,excess supply in some cities has become the first problem,it is necessary to warn the oversupply of urban complex.This article is based on this need to build early warning mechanisms of complex urban development.This paper consists of five parts:The first part is an introduction,mainly introducing the background and significance of the research,literature review,ideas and methods;the second part is the theoretical review introducing the basic theoretical support of this study;the third part introduces the current situation and problems of development of the urban complex in China;the fourth is to build early warning mechanisms of complex urban development,and using Shenyang city to conduct empirical analysis;the fifth part is conclusions and recommendation.Building early warning mechanisms of complex urban development is the core of this article.It include selecting early warning indicators,screening early warning indicators,determining the alarm level of indicators,determining the integrated level of warning digress.This article use statistical warning methods and other methods to building warning mechanisms.This article select Shenyang to conduct empirical analysis and prove the development of complex urban in Shenyang is in overheated state.The complex urban is a relatively new architectural form.When building the early warning mechanism,this article use a variety of methods,avoiding the limitations of a single research methods.This article is closely related to current development of urban complex,with a strong timeliness and reference value.Because of Urban complex is an integrated architectural form,so there are many different dimensions of research and analysis.Due to the limitation of the author,the article do research mainly from the macro level.In addition,urban complexes generally appear as individuals and many cities have only one or a few urban complex,determining the development of urban complex largely influent the overall development of urban complexes.However,it is difficult to obtain the operational data timely,limiting the research from micro level.This article analyzes the impact of e-commerce on the development of urban complex and discuss the combination of the e-commerce and urban complex...