The Analysis Of The Effects Of Aging Population On Consumption Structure In Tianjin

Population aging will be an inevitable process,which is a common topic in recent years.The internationally recognized standards of population aging is that the number of people aged 60 in society is more than 10%of the total population,or the population aged 65 in society is over than 7%of the total population.Fifth Census(2000)data shows,China has entered the population aging society.In recent years,while continuing to Tianjin economic development,population aging process is accelerating,impact of population aging on the economy and changes in consumption structure,as well as the old age security and other series of problems emerged.Population aging have a negative impact in the same time,inevitably also brings other opportunities.Firstly,based on the explanation of Population Aging and the reasons for the formation of the status quo,it has a simple prediction to Tianjin's demographic trends in the coming years in gray prediction and linear regression method,the results shows,Tianjin's aging population will further deepen,but the degree is weakening;In addition,the consumer is divided into eight categories,It has a statistical analysis to consumption status and characteristics of Tianjin urban and rural residents,on this basis,conducting impact of Population Aging Factors on Consumption Structure with the gray relational analysis and partial least squares regression(PLS),the results shows,Aging Population in Tianjin consumer impact most medical insurance,education and entertainment services was followed,foods and clothing,etc...,statistical test of these two methods are shown to have a strong significance,therefore,empirical analysis conclusions have some credibility;Finally,for the aging population characteristics in Tianjin,putting forward constructive suggestions about how to grasp the implementation of the pension system,how to grasp the Tianjin aging industry brought about by the new consumer opportunities,and The implementation of "medical support integration","Cultural Endowment"etc.