Development Prediction And Supporting Measures Of Renewable Energy Generation In China

Renewable sources can be used sustainably.Currently,with the continuing increasing of the international oil price and the prominent problem of global climate change,renewable energy is facing with new development opportunities.Especially,China has abundant renewable energy reserves and has the huge potential of large-scale exploitation with its outstanding resource reserves and technical advancement.At present,Chinese government strengthens the energy conservation and comprehensive utilizations of multiple energy resources in order to maintain a rapid growth of power industry.The research,development and utilization of power generation with new energy are all focused on to fulfill the development goals.According to the Renewable Energy Capacity Statistics Report in 2017 released by Chinese Renewable Energy Department,the new installed capacity of global renewable energy power generation has reached to 161 GW,and 40% is contributed by China.Therefore,it is imperative to study the development trend of renewable energy generation in China and predicts the future scales for rational planning and policy decision-making.This paper can be divided into the following aspects: First,through the concept and research result analysis of energy and renewable energy generation at home and abroad,the paper summarized the research background,meanings,contents and methods were determined initially.Second,by considering with the mature experience in developed countries,the general situations and the utilizations of renewable energies were analyzed,such as hydropower,wind power,solar power and biomass power.Meanwhile,through SWOT analysis method,the strengths,weaknesses,opportunities and threats were identified which can provide references for the studies of scale forecasting model and supporting measures.Third,based on the grey correlation model,the prediction model of total electricity consumption was constructed.Consequently,the Chinese new installed capacity and accumulated installed capacity of renewable energy generation in the future were forecasted considering with the policy environment and their characteristics.The uncertainty analysis was also explored to make the prediction more dependable.The At last,based on the analysis results of SWOT and scale forecasting of renewable energy generation in China,the supporting measures were proposed from the aspects of industry planning,policy and mechanism,technical search and design.The relative researches have realistic meanings which can provide references for government and enterprises to realize the rational industry planning,the multigeneration coordinative development and the generation structure improvement.It is also helpful to fulfill a clean and sustainable development of renewable energy generation in China.