Short-term Forecasting And Influencing Factors Of Urban Poverty Population In China's Urbanization Process

Since the reform and opening up,the Chinese government has vigorously promoted the development of urbanization in China.But since 1990 s,the problem of urban poverty in our country has became more and more serious.It has become a big problem that hinders the development of our society and economy.This paper will focus on the characteristics of urban poverty groups in the process of urbanization from the aspects of urbanization development,economic system reform and the mobility between urban and rural population.In this paper,we will carry on the short-term forecast to the scale of the urban poor population in our country,and establish the influence factor model to put forward the policy suggestions to control the severity of the urban poverty problem in many aspects.According to the literature theory of urban poverty groups,this paper puts forward the definition of urban poverty,and defines the urban poverty groups in China.From the aspects of structure and distribution,this paper analyzes the characteristics of the group in the process of deepening economic reform and promoting the level of urbanization in our country.This article will also discuss the harm of the urban poverty problem in our country from the aspects of society,economy,family and individual.Then,this paper evaluates the effect of urban poverty in China by the short-term prediction of the absolute poverty and relative poverty groups.Finally,I will establish the model of the influence factors of the urban poor in China,and finally put forward some relevant empirical support.The Chinese government has long been the focus of Chinese rural social relief.Focusing on how to guide our farmers to successfully get rid of poverty.The Chinese government has neglected the problem of poverty in China's urban residents,which is gradually emerging and expanding in the process of economic development.Now,urban poverty has seriously affected the stability and development of China's society,the future of China's urbanization process to bring great challenges.Therefore,the governance of urban poverty in China has a long way to go.