The Spatial Association Of Trade Growth In The Belt And Road Initiatives Countries

Comrade Xi Jinping put forward the national strategy named "The Belt and Road" in 2013,"Silk Road Economic Belt" and "maritime Silk Road" constitutes The Belt and Road ".At present,China's economic growth has entered a new normal,the pressure on the economic downturn is obvious,in order to promote economic growth,foreign cooperation should be expanded.Working out a cooperation plan to involve more countries playing an important role in economic development.China's accession to the WTO has a tremendous impact on China's economy.The Belt and Road " and the strategic of Chinese free trade zone should be collocation and involve more countries,especially the countries in "The Belt and Road".These countries play an important role in economic development.Policy exchange,infrastructure construction,financial investment,trade cooperation,win-win "is Belt and Road Initiative" highlight,the trade relations of China and The Belt and Road is the key.So,the second chapter selects trade data of 58 countries in "The Belt and Road" and China,The data was checked by ADF,After a stationary time series,the Grainger causality test is performed,we can construct a trade growth association network of The Belt and Road The third chapter analyzes the specific attributes of the special network,Mainly from the network density,correlation degree and cohesion of three aspects.The fourth chapter analyzes the central characteristics of the spatial correlation network of the trade growth of the countries along the “One Belt And One Road”.Centrality analysis is an important part of social network analysis.The centrality measures how much "power" the individuals who inside the network has in the network.The literatures use the degree of degree of degree,the center of the degree,close to the center degree,etc.,to measure the degree of the centrality of the indicators.Mainly,used to quantify the centrality size of nodes in the network.In fifth chapter,the author introduces the method of block model,and transforms the trade growth spatial correlation network of the "One Belt And One Road" countries into a matrix of structural equivalence,which plays a simplified role in analyzing the relationship between small groups in trade growth.And then introduces the concept of middleman and structural hole.The analysis is to analyze how many times the countries to be the middleman in the trade growth space network in the area of the "One Belt And One Road" countries.The author mainly considers four indicators,namely,effective scale,efficiency,the degree of limitation and the level of degree to measure the structural holes.The analysis of relational data cannot use the conventional statistical method.Therefore,the sixth chapter introduces the concept of QAP correlation analysis and QAP regression analysis to research the influencing factors of the association between “The Belt and Road” nations trade growth.First,according to the economic theory and logic and data to choose the variables,And then use QAP correlation analysis to verify whether the idea of selecting variables is correct,to exclude the variables with lower correlation,and then to do QAPregression analysis to further study the correlation coefficient,significant degree,judgment coefficient the coefficient size of influencing factors.