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Research Of Fujian Province General Road Network Maintenance Funding Allocation

Posted on:2018-06-15Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:F ChenFull Text:PDF
GTID:2382330542990077Subject:System analysis and decision-making
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
It has been about 30 years for the construction of highway in Fujian Province since the beginning of the 1980s.Currently the road network has been basically formed,and highway development has entered the phase of both construction and maintenance of equal importance.The mileage for maintenance is growing,thus rapidly rising demand for maintenance funding.It has been a problem demanding prompt solution how to use the limited funding for timely and effective maintenance of highway and to ensure the balance of the whole road network at management decision-making level.For a long time,Fujian province has executed fixed funding allocation among the cities.With the transformation of the general road network scale and structure,development of the industry,adjustment of national policy and other changes of external environment,the current allocation of funds appeared some inadaptability and problems,failing to meet the requirements of era development.Therefore,it is required to identify existing problems by deeply analyzing the original allocation of funds so as to estimate the funds of maintenance allocated to cities for building a set of scientific allocation scheme for calculation,evaluation and adjustment to further improve capital efficiency and to reduce the cost of general road maintenance management.The prediction of the demand for maintenance funding and the evaluation on funding allocation are the essential content of the paper.Firstly,the theory of modern management and statistics are applied in analyzing the existing problem of the current funding allocation scheme.According to the usage properties,the funding are subdivided into the periodical minor maintenance and the heavy and intermediate maintenance of two parts,and then a new maintenance funding formula is given.Secondly,the multivariate linear regression prediction model is constructed to forecast the per kilometer price of minor maintenance,the Support Vector Machine(SVM)division prediction model is constructed to forecast the engineering quantity of the heavy and intermediate maintenance,the Support Vector Machine(SVM)regression prediction model is constructed to forecast the per kilometer price of the heavy and intermediate maintenance;according to the prediction value and maintenance funding formula,the value of highway maintenance funds is reached.In order to evaluate the rationality of allocation scheme,after determining the evaluation dimensions and indicators of the funding allocation scheme,AHP method is used to determine the weight coefficient of each index.According to the Evaluation System,the effectiveness of the new and old funding allocation is evaluated.Ultimately some improvement strategies and suggestions about Fujian Province highway maintenance are putted forward,the shortcomings of the study and the further endeavors also is pointed out.Through the above studies,the following key issues may address:A more reasonable funding allocation scheme is established to avoid the funds from "duplicate assignment" or "over-allocation",promoting the utilization efficiency of maintenance capital.The goal of the road state maintaining in a good state with the limited funding investment is attained.
Keywords/Search Tags:maintenance management, funding allocation, forecast model, analytic hierarchy process, evaluation index system
PDF Full Text Request
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