Study On Risk Management Of Electricity Selling Companies With New Electric Power System Reform

As the release of "Some Opinions on Further Deepening electric power reform",it marked the beginning of a new round of electric power system reform.Then the release of the six core supporting documents on the reform of the power system pushed the power reform to a climax,they clarify the specific path of the power system reform,and encourage more social entities to participate in the market competition of the power-selling side.The electricity selling side reform completely solved the electricity price problem.On the one hand,more electricity selling bodies participate in the electricity selling market competition,giving users more options to choose electricity selling body,and through the competition between the various electricity selling bodies,users get a better electricity experience,including level of users' energy and service quality.On the other hand,the influx of various types of electricity selling bodies into the market not only provides fresh blood for market competition,but also causes various risk problems in the operation of electricity selling companies due to factors such as imperfect market conditions.Therefore,under the background of the new round of electric power system reform,the electricity selling companies face enormous risk management challenges.This paper takes a new round of electric power system reform as the research background,and systematically studies the risk issues of the electricity selling companies in the context of this research background from the perspective of risk management.First,by way of literature review,policy research,and theoretical research,the development status quo of domestic and international power market is researched.And based on the status quo of China's power market,the current risk management situation of electricity selling companies is analyzed.Then based on the experience of foreign power market development and the actual status of the domestic power market,the paper summarizes the risks that China's electricity selling companies may face.Second,use the fishbone diagram to identify the risk factors of the electricity sales company and establish an indicator system.Third,combined with the risk probability estimation and the risk degree estimation,the variance risk measurement model is used to measure the risk factors of the electricity selling companies;Four,The recursive feature elimination model is used to select key risk indicators,and then the early warning analysis is carried out by using the key risk indicator early warning method.In the process of selecting key risk indicators,the recursive feature elimination model ensures the objectivity of the selection results.Finally,According to the comprehensive analysis of risk identification,risk measurement and risk early warning analysis,the improvement suggestions of risk management of power sales companies are proposed.