Font Size: a A A

Aging Population,Innovation And Industrial Structure Upgrading

Posted on:2020-11-27Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:P N DengFull Text:PDF
GTID:2427330596481334Subject:Industrial Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Nowadays,the aging population in our country has been increasing rapidly,even though this situation didn't happen as early as some other countries did.With the better living standard of people's and the more sound endowment insurance system,the aging population in our country keep increasing and the demographic dividend has gradually decreased.Even though tertiary industry has been making more and more contribution to the economy,our country is facing a situation that many citizens haven't become rich before they get old because of the slower-down economic development.In the meantime,the rapid development of science and technology has provided new opportunities and challenges for China's economic growth.Therefore,with China's slower-down economic development,the strategy of innovation-driven development and the rapid aging population,it is rather important for us to find new economic growth point,make deeper research about the relation among aging population,innovation and the upgrading of industrial structure,which aims at guaranteeing the sustainable and healthy economic growth.Literature shows that there is two-side effect of aging population to upgrading of industrial structure.Now the question is what will be the case in China,which is the first topic of this research.Furthermore,according to Neoclassical growth theory,the promotion of innovation power is vital resource of continuous economic growth and industry development.Then,can ascension of innovation counteract the negative effect of aging population to upgrading industrial structure? this is the second topic of this research.According to these two topics,this paper will be separated to the following sections.This paper will discuss these two questions based on the following aspects.First of all,this paper will define the relevant concepts base on the conclusion of relevant literature.Second,according to relevant theory,the paper will conclude the effect that aging population have on the upgrading of industrial structure and the regulation role that innovation plays in the transmission mechanism.And also it will analyse the spatial relevance of upgrading of industrial structure according to the new geographic economics.Third,this paper will analyse the current situation of aging population,innovation and upgrading of industrial structure,build spatial weighting matrix based on the movement of R&D staff and test the spatial correlation of upgrading of industrial structure by Global Moran Index.Fourth,this paper will build a spatial econometric model based on panel data of provinces,test the effect that aging population have on upgrading of industrial structure and the regulation role that innovation plays.This paper has made the following conclusion: firstly,the spatial weighting matrix based on the movement of R&D staff can elaborate the spatial correlation of upgrading of industrial structure.Secondly,upgrading of industrial structure possesses significantpositive spatial correlation,and the growth pole of regions has formed.The upgrading of industrial structure will lead to that of the surrounding regions,which shows that trickle-down effect is more powerful than polarization effect.Third,aging population possesses dual influence mechanism towards upgrading of industrial structure,and the overall effect depends on the contrast of the positive and negative effect.Aging population has negative correlation with the upgrading index of industrial structure,and has positive correlation with the servitization and technicalization index of upgrading of industrial structure.Fourth,innovation has played a role of regulating in the effect that ageing population have on upgrading of industrial structure,which can help to decrease the negative effect that it has on the number and quality of labor force,and on the human resources,and also it will improve the positive effect that it has on upgrading of industrial structure,promoting the upgrading of industrial structure.Last but not least,this paper proposes some suggestions for the relevant policy based on the conclusion that it made.
Keywords/Search Tags:aging population, innovation, upgrading of industrial structure, growth pole, spatial econometrics
PDF Full Text Request
Related items