Research On The Spatial Evolution And Driving Factors Of Winter Sports Stadium In Jiangsu Province

In order to find out the distribution,development trend and driving factors of the winter sports stadiums in Jiangsu province,this paper analyzes the basic evolution characteristics of 41 winter sports stadiums in Jiangsu province by means of literature,experts interview and mathematical statistics,and establishes an evaluation index model for the comprehensive development level of winter sports stadiums.The mapping function in ArcGIS 10.2 is used to draw the spatial distribution of the winter sports stadiums,and the spatial distribution characteristics of the winter sports stadiums are calculated by the nearest exponent method and the kernel density analysis method.Stata14.0 is used to analyze the driving factors of the winter sports stadium development in Jiangsu province.The findings are as follows:(1)The number and spatial distribution of the winter sports stadiums in Jiangsu province is uneven.Most of the ice rinks are in the central area of each city and there are more skating rinks in south Jiangsu,while most of the snow rinks are spread in peripheral areas and there are more ski rinks in north Jiangsu.(2)An indicator system of comprehensive development level of the winter sports stadiums in Jiangsu province is established to evaluate the evolution of comprehensive development level,the model is scientific,feasible and practical.The comprehensive development index f(u)of winter sports stadiums shows a trend of steady increase year by year(except Nanjing,Huai 'an and Zhenjiang),with no obvious fluctuation and little difference in growth rate.(3)There are three types of spatial structures of the winter sports stadiums in Jiangsu province,which present an evolutionary trend from dispersion to agglomeration,and the nuclear density analysis also shows that the current agglomeration state has been formed in this province.Moreover,with the passing of time,the number of the winter sports stadiums keeps increasing,and the agglomeration state also becomes increasingly prominent.In general,the evolution of spatial distribution density shows a trend from scattered point structure to cluster structure.(4)Economic level,social demand and sports construction all play a certain driving role in the spatial evolution of winter sports stadiums in Jiangsu province.Through regression analysis,it is found that F1(per capita GDP),F2(per capita disposable income)and F9(number of winter sports stadium)in the indicator layer have a direct positive correlation with the spatial evolution of the winter sports stadiums in Jiangsu province.However,F5(number of sports and entertainment organizations)and F8(number of sports venues)are also positively correlated,but they will show a state that when things go too far,they will go in the opposite direction,which needs to be controlled within a relatively reasonable range according to the actual situation.(5)Based on the above conclusions,the following strategies are proposed for the future development of the winter sports stadium in Jiangsu province: 1)Cultivate winter sports culture to strengthen the strategy of top-level design;2)The strategy of promoting the independent development of cities under the guidance of point-axis Theory;3)The strategy of promoting regional integrated development under the guidance of industrial agglomeration theory;4)The strategy of promoting the comprehensive development of the region based on the core-edge theory.There are 14 figures,14 tables and 71 references in this paper.