Research On Forecast Of Logistics Demand In Taizhou Port

As the process of economic globalization continues to accelerate,exchanges and cooperation between China and the rest of the world are deepening.The party and the state have proposed the development of the Belt and Road and the construction of the Maritime Silk Road.As an important link between the countries connecting China and the Maritime Silk Road,the port is an important condition for ensuring that our economy remains viable under t he background conditions of supply-side reform.China's port logistics industry is steadily improving and developing.However,as the economy develops,the demand for port logistics becomes more and more variable.This requires the port to identify its own main factors such as the scale of logistics services.The logistics demand forecast of the port is to ensure that the inland port is facing the opportunity and challenge to optimize and upgrade the port.Rationalize the layout of the internal structure of the port,clarify the service subject,and formulate a differentiated competition plan.The key to stand out from the competition in the port.Under the premise of fully studying the relationship between the port and the hinterland,this paper analyzes th e industrial structure and the overall development level of Taizhou.In accordance with the construction principle of the indicator system,an indicator system that influences the logistics demand of Taizhou Port has been established.These preliminary selected indicators were screened by grey correlation analysis to select the factors that have a greater impact on port logistics demand.The gray-scale prediction model and support vector machine are selected as the single-term prediction model and BP neural network is used as the nonlinear combination method for combined prediction.The empirical analysis is carried out in Taizhou City as an example.The future development trend of Taizhou Port was clarified,and its advantages and disadvantages were pointed out.In response to these aspects,Taizhou Port was proposed to further develop the port's effective recommendations based on its excellent geographical location and national policy blessing.