| This article takes the game data of the 2016-2019 Chinese Super League teams as the research object.Starting from the factors that affect the team's game performance,first of all,by consulting the literature and network information,the factors that affect the team's performance are classified into three categories.: Team strength,home advantage and referee factors.From these aspects,select relevant index variables to build a model.Since the two teams compete in the competition to produce results,the independent variable is selected as the difference between the index variables.Subsequently,models were established to calculate the influence and size of the selected index variables on the game results and the number of goals scored and lost by the team,providing a new research perspective for the comprehensive evaluation of the factors affecting the performance of the Chinese Super League team.The study found that:(1)Team strength,home advantage and referee factors all have an impact on team performance.Under the conditions of the proxy variables selected in this article,team strength has a greater impact on team performance than home advantage and referee.The influence of factors on team performance.It shows that football is rational and predictable to a certain extent.(2)Among the influencing factors of the team's strength,the team's points in the current season,the team's average salary,the number of star foreign players played,and the difference in the team's value all contribute to the victory of the game.Among them,the team's season points have the most effect.The average value of the team,the number of star foreign aid and the state of the game in the past month have an impact on the number of goals,the season history points,the average value of the team and the number of star foreign aid have an impact on the number of goals conceded,and are consistent with the direction of the impact on the game result And the effect is more obvious;these results show that star players have a certain role in improving the overall strength of the team,and the increase in the average salary level caused by the uneven distribution of player income within the team also has a positive impact on the game results.(3)Among the influencing factors of home advantage,the position factor and the audience factor will affect the game,while the distance factor has no significant effect on the game result.Among them,the latitude difference in the position factor is negatively correlated with the probability of winning,the number of spectators is positively correlated with the probability of winning,the attendance is negatively correlated with the number of goals scored by the home team,and the altitude factor has little effect on the game.This shows that the cheering of the audience will increase the home team's probability of winning,but excessive attendance will have a negative impact on the "goal" performance.The results of the influence of latitude factors show that when the northern team travels to the southern team city to participate in the game,the southern team's home advantage will increase,which shows that it is relatively difficult for the northern team to adapt to the high temperature and humid climate in the south.Has an impact on your athletic performance.The number of fouls in the referee factor has an impact on the game results and the number of goals scored,but the impact is very small,indicating that the refereeing behavior of domestic sports events is relatively fair.Based on the research conclusions,the following suggestions are made:(1)For the football clubs in the Chinese Super League,through the relevant research results on the factors affecting the team's performance,correctly understand the impact of objective factors on the game results,and make full use of these factors to increase the team's The probability of winning.The study found that latitude and spectators have an impact on the team 's performance,so we can simulate the behavior that the home spectator may make when playing away on the road,so that the team 's training in this game environment will increase the athletes in the official game.In the case of anti-interference ability and high attendance,how should the home team perform better at the competitive level,the qualified club can organize the team to the venue with different climate conditions for training and preparation.Through the analysis of the impact of various factors on the team's strength on the team's performance,we believe that the club should not focus on the excessive introduction of star foreign aid,but should be based on the actual needs of the club.Player strength.(2)For the Chinese Football Association,while correctly understanding the increase and attention of foreign players to the strength of the Chinese Football Club,learn more advanced football concepts,and increase the domestic outstanding players and youth training.Construction investment trains talents for Chinese football.Reasonable and balanced input of resources to improve the team's infrastructure.While encouraging teams to introduce foreign aid,they need to allocate a reasonable proportion of the funds invested in the aid to the youth training of the team.Excellent players can join the club at a later stage to ensure the training efficiency of reserve talents in the league.The study found that the average salary of players to improve the team's performance is more caused by the uneven distribution of income within the team.In the long run,this will destroy the competitive balance of the Chinese Super League.We should encourage the balanced development of each team.It is not the monopoly of the Super League champions by the giant clubs with huge investment.Only in a balanced competitive landscape will there be more exciting and fierce competitions,making the Super League more attractive and interesting.This encourages us to support the salary limit order,guide the healthy development of Chinese football,change the status quo of the golden age of Chinese football,and also help improve the quality of the league,increase its influence and the attractiveness of foreign aid,and reduce the cost of recruitment.(3)For investors,based on the club 's historical competition results and club membership composition and other relevant information,a rational judgment of the development prospects of a club is made to find the right time investment to maximize its own interests while promoting The healthy development of Chinese football.While paying attention to the game,strengthen the development of league resources and related copyrights,increase the attention of the Super League,and create more market value and income sources. |
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